Win rate
52.6%
10 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$23
realized $-934 · unrealized $957
Portfolio
$957
volume $216,055
Predictions
42
1.6/day · avg $5,144
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/03/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 100% +$25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 100% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Elections 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$3 | win |
Economy 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
Politics 0% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 73¢ | 73¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | loss |
Sports 17% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 16¢ | 15¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (47)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $4,493 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 31.9¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $2,860 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98.2¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $1,864 | 29/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $918 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $917 | 30/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 96.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,009 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 96.1¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $919 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | $88 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 7.5¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | $80 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $4,084 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 95.9¢ | 97¢ | +$3 | $917 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $2,057 | 07/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 89.8¢ | 94¢ | +$24 | $1,029 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,974 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96.7¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $1,011 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $221 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 95.2¢ | 96¢ | $-4 | $3,685 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 97.5¢ | 99¢ | $-17 | $4,099 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $957 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15.5¢ | 15¢ | $-1 | $216 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 82.1¢ | 85¢ | $-0 | $2,830 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $939 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $4,492 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 91.5¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $939 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 94.8¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $936 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15.8¢ | 17¢ | +$0 | $323 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $47 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90.1¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $1,011 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84.2¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | $1,010 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 83.8¢ | 84¢ | $-4 | $1,851 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,010 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 97.5¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $223 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 89.4¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $917 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 97.7¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $1,006 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.4¢ | 17¢ | +$1 | $167 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 82.8¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | $2,074 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.8¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $917 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | $39 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $45 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.1¢ | 27¢ | +$0 | $492 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $50 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $53 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $38 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $919 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.5¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $919 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.6¢ | 7¢ | $-2 | $39 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 72.7¢ | 73¢ | $-4 | $1,825 | 07/11/2028 |