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Other 68% +$1,795 $200,903 vol · 391 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	Yes	49¢	52¢	+$1	win
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	40¢	41¢	+$987	win
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	59¢	59¢	$-180	loss
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	39¢	37¢	$-3	loss
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	15¢	0¢	$-26	loss
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Weibo Gaming	63¢	100¢	+$37	win
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	58¢	0¢	$-669	loss
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	73¢	100¢	+$230	win
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	60¢	0¢	$-161	loss

Geopolitics 75% +$785 $95,460 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	97¢	97¢	+$99	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	3¢	0¢	+$773	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-855	loss
Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 4.5	Under	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Spread: Senators (-2.5)	Maple Leafs	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$29	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	Yes	48¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Senators vs. Jets	Jets	30¢	0¢	+$25	win
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-10	loss
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Elections 67% +$278 $365,328 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	60¢	+$0	—
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	1¢	+$0	—
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	40¢	+$0	—
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	59¢	100¢	+$276	win
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Rodrigo Paz win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win

Politics 100% +$62 $10,452 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump say "Job" 12+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Trump say "Great Big Beautiful Bill" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	No	90¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Blackwell" this week?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Horrible thing" this week?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$7	win

Weather 100% +$22 $6,066 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 22?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 22?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on August 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on August 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 80-81°F on August 14?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Tech 88% +$6 $2,699 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	48¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Apple launch a Studio Display on September 9?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Esports 74% $-22 $63,905 vol · 121 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	39¢	100¢	+$548	win
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	70¢	0¢	$-175	loss
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner	Arcade Esports	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	B8	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner	Tricked	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner	FOKUS	99¢	0¢	$-568	loss
Counter-Strike: K27 vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs	BET-M 33	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	3DMAX	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Anyones Legend	86¢	0¢	$-106	loss

Economy 0% $-35 $35 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	9¢	0¢	$-35	loss

Culture 43% $-35 $1,546 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	22¢	0¢	+$70	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	53¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	41¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	76¢	100¢	$-75	loss
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	39¢	0¢	+$2	win

Crypto 70% $-61 $4,060 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will ETH/BTC hit 0.035 by September 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin above $117000 on August 15?	No	27¢	0¢	+$6	win
Bitcoin above $117000 on August 15?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Solana above $200 on August 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5AM ET	Down	19¢	0¢	+$19	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET	Up	13¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8?	Up	25¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?	No	27¢	0¢	+$11	win
Ethereum Up or Down on June 19?	Down	29¢	100¢	+$5	win

Mentions 64% $-112 $2,407 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kanye tweet "$YZY" by Thursday?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 4–11?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?	No	90¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 20–27?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 13–20?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon tweet 205–219 times June 13–20?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-126	loss
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?	No	50¢	0¢	$-36	loss

Sports 81% $-12,736 $479,760 vol · 1034 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	56¢	55¢	$-2	loss
Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	18¢	0¢	+$320	win
Warriors vs. Suns	Suns	68¢	100¢	$-283	loss
Kings vs. Flames	Kings	56¢	0¢	+$30	win
Kings vs. Flames: O/U 4.5	Under	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Spread: Blues (-1.5)	Blues	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)	Predators	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Warriors vs. Clippers	Clippers	25¢	0¢	+$117	win
Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	74¢	100¢	$-70	loss
Trail Blazers vs. Suns	Trail Blazers	41¢	100¢	+$690	win