Win rate
50.0%
4 W / 4 L
Total PnL
$983
realized $-509 · unrealized $1,492
Portfolio
$1,492
volume $17,502
Predictions
7
0.3/day · avg $2,500
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 67% +$942
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$465 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$577 | win |
Other 50% +$41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$175 | win |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 16¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Politics 0% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | No | 86¢ | 85¢ | $-12 | loss |
Recent Trades (8)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$577 | $2,078 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 56.6¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | No | 86.0¢ | 85¢ | $-12 | $1,000 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 77.0¢ | 78¢ | +$3 | $500 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$465 | $1,000 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 74.3¢ | 84¢ | +$175 | $1,500 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 16¢ | $-37 | $500 | 31/12/2026 |