Generator

Geopolitics 60% +$113,473 $570,897 vol · 97 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	43¢	0¢	+$211	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-1,403	loss
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	92¢	50¢	$-4,229	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	56¢	0¢	$-226	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-994	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	69¢	76¢	+$266	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$610	win
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	29¢	100¢	+$3,917	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$701	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	6¢	1¢	$-2,409	loss

Tech 93% +$6,984 $54,280 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	64¢	70¢	+$6	win
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$123	win
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?	No	81¢	100¢	+$86	win
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$73	win
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$59	win
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$333	win
Will Amazon buy TikTok?	No	83¢	100¢	+$343	win
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-1,134	loss
Will GPT-5 be released by April 30?	No	99¢	100¢	+$45	win

Sports 50% +$5,149 $40,314 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	3¢	1¢	$-62	loss
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$1,453	win
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$5,128	win
Ravens vs. Browns	Browns	21¢	0¢	$-1,369	loss

Elections 54% +$4,963 $101,607 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	5¢	12¢	+$9,851	win
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$9,378	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$2,105	win
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-332	loss
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$3,035	win
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?	No	64¢	0¢	$-1,286	loss
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	Yes	88¢	100¢	$-1,287	loss
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	No	90¢	0¢	$-17,292	loss
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$300	win
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-644	loss

Culture 67% +$969 $6,188 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	70¢	54¢	$-84	loss
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$726	win

Politics 59% +$72 $382,088 vol · 101 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4¢	7¢	+$1,486	win
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	7¢	21¢	+$425	win
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-3,135	loss
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	87¢	100¢	$-465	loss
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	73¢	100¢	+$406	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-219	loss
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	44¢	0¢	$-672	loss
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	27¢	52¢	+$615	win
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	25¢	2¢	$-21	loss
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$1,038	win

Crypto 56% $-6,653 $29,577 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	21¢	49¢	+$878	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$3,174	win
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-11,874	loss
US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-2,315	loss
US national Solana reserve in 2025?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-91	loss
US national XRP reserve in 2025?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?	Yes	24¢	0¢	+$2,116	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?	No	68¢	100¢	+$1,515	win
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?	Yes	20¢	0¢	+$11	win

Economy 53% $-8,853 $442,502 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$179	win
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-484	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	31¢	0¢	$-11,789	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-20,520	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1,939	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$15,000	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before July?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$2,821	win
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before July?	No	29¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-886	loss

Other 56% $-59,104 $642,014 vol · 78 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	33¢	16¢	$-285	loss
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	No	69¢	97¢	+$1,024	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	32¢	38¢	+$1,362	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3,318	win
Khamenei seen in public by March 2?	No	93¢	100¢	+$81	win
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3,251	win
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?	No	99¢	100¢	+$648	win
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?	Yes	14¢	100¢	+$169	win
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?	No	71¢	100¢	+$4,539	win
US government shutdown in 2025?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$3,448	win