DoggoTrade

Geopolitics 65% +$50,152 $2,672,131 vol · 257 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-220	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	$-80	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	50¢	70¢	+$67	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	72¢	100¢	+$65	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	50¢	30¢	+$55	win
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	82¢	100¢	$-48	loss
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	9¢	0¢	+$3	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	39¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-832	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	66¢	100¢	$-63	loss

Other 62% +$17,035 $629,134 vol · 95 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	78¢	66¢	$-23	loss
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	50¢	0¢	+$549	win
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	59¢	100¢	$-526	loss
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	89¢	93¢	+$14	win
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	50¢	74¢	+$22	win
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	81¢	84¢	+$1,829	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	26¢	16¢	+$343	win
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	$-147	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	81¢	82¢	+$97	win

Politics 50% +$7,435 $1,155,394 vol · 62 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	38¢	39¢	+$26	win
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	28¢	$-4,134	loss
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	72¢	+$4,132	win
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	1¢	0¢	+$2,396	win
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	99¢	100¢	$-533	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	88¢	92¢	+$1,474	win
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$893	win
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	73¢	100¢	+$104	win

Sports 58% +$1,540 $22,747 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-330	loss
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-139	loss
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?	No	68¢	100¢	$-159	loss
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	67¢	100¢	$-134	loss
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?	No	75¢	100¢	$-343	loss
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?	No	94¢	100¢	$-195	loss
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)	Volkanovski	58¢	100¢	+$683	win
Rams vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	56¢	100¢	+$220	win
Patriots vs. Broncos	Broncos	34¢	0¢	$-340	loss

Elections 85% +$265 $424,511 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	83¢	+$0	—
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	54¢	64¢	+$42	win
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	50¢	52¢	+$0	—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	50¢	48¢	+$0	—
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	34¢	39¢	+$127	win
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	86¢	96¢	+$164	win
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	No	15¢	0¢	+$62	win
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	No	95¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	17¢	0¢	+$17	win

Economy 67% +$113 $17,793 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	99¢	+$20	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	91¢	100¢	+$33	win
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-807	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	94¢	100¢	+$0	—
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win

Crypto 67% $-32 $6,357 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	No	92¢	94¢	+$16	win

Mentions 0% $-35 $61 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-35	loss

Tech 0% $-181 $327 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	43¢	78¢	+$0	—
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	64¢	62¢	$-1	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-123	loss

Culture 50% $-221 $661 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$110	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	43¢	0¢	$-331	loss