Win rate
14.8%
15 W / 86 L
Total PnL
$-278
realized $-1,284 · unrealized $1,006
Portfolio
$1,006
volume $228,288
Predictions
107
2.6/day · avg $2,134
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 11% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Knicks | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Celtics | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$112 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Bruins | Bruins | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Utah vs. Stars | Stars | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | loss |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Oilers vs. Blues | Blues | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning | Lightning | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
Politics 0% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Esports 0% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Aurora Gaming | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
Other 41% $-121
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Based FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5) | Iowa State Cyclones | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5) | Louisville Cardinals | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Spread: Houston Cougars (-23.5) | Houston Cougars | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | loss |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
Geopolitics 25% $-146
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Senators vs. Canucks | Canucks | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-132 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Knicks | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 26/03/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Celtics | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$112 | $78 | 25/03/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Bruins | Bruins | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 24/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Aurora Gaming | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 23/03/2026 |
| Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5) | Iowa State Cyclones | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $84 | 22/03/2026 |
| Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5) | Louisville Cardinals | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $82 | 21/03/2026 |
| Spread: Houston Cougars (-23.5) | Houston Cougars | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $87 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $75 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $86 | 18/03/2026 |
| Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | $89 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $107 | 17/03/2026 |
| Utah vs. Stars | Stars | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $97 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15? | No | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $94 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,328 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100¢ | +$258 | $77 | 14/03/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Blues | Blues | 41.9¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $80 | 14/03/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning | Lightning | 65.9¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $68 | 12/03/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Pelicans | Raptors | 53.9¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | $119 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10? | No | 41.9¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10? | No | 78.9¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | $91 | 10/03/2026 |
| Senators vs. Canucks | Canucks | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-132 | $132 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 08/03/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Suns | Suns | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $61 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 07/03/2026 |
| Lightning vs. Wild | Wild | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | $86 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-162 | $162 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $95 | 02/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.2¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $35 | 28/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $962 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,674 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $877 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $902 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,211 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,217 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,962 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,680 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,858 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $741 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $806 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $806 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $815 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $889 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $945 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,379 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,402 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,927 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,021 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,065 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,089 | 20/07/2026 |