Win rate
68.5%
361 W / 166 L
Total PnL
$-13,375
realized $-14,577 · unrealized $1,202
Portfolio
$1,202
volume $2,289,458
Predictions
608
6.0/day · avg $3,766
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 05/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Tech 78% +$1,626
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-181 | loss |
| Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$768 | win |
| Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? | Yes | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-699 | loss |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-860 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$344 | win |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 13? | Down | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Sports 68% +$686
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Kings vs. Flames: O/U 4.5 | Under | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | Flyers | 59¢ | 100¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Canucks vs. Sharks | Sharks | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Capitals vs. Penguins | Capitals | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Flyers vs. Jets | Flyers | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Rockets | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-955 | loss |
Esports 74% +$270
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | B8 | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | FUT Esports | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | Astralis | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Top Esports | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | FOKUS | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-375 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | TheMongolz | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | win |
Weather 100% +$121
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on March 16? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Economy 67% $-1,266
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession in 2025? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-1,277 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Finance 25% $-1,418
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deel IPO before 2027? | Yes | 73¢ | 21¢ | $-785 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17? | Down | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$124 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13? | Up | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-112 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10? | Up | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-645 | loss |
Politics 25% $-1,629
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump dance during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | loss |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-1,122 | loss |
| Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union? | No | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-302 | loss |
Mentions 65% $-2,187
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-240 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026? | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | +$216 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-211 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-1,265 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-299 | loss |
Geopolitics 79% $-2,616
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-29 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | win |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30? | Yes | 73¢ | 16¢ | $-2,151 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 98¢ | 0¢ | $-4,454 | loss |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-134 | loss |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | Yes | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-422 | loss |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5 | Over | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Crypto 70% $-6,802
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 6? | Yes | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-520 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$351 | win |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in February? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-2,203 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9PM ET | Down | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | Down | 19¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10PM ET | Up | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
Other 64% $-9,221
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$312 | win |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 69¢ | 57¢ | +$10 | win |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$2 | win |
| Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$79 | win |
| Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-442 | loss |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 82¢ | 80¢ | +$8 | win |
| Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitway FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 89¢ | 44¢ | $-29 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 71.6¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $147 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames: O/U 4.5 | Under | 64.6¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | Vitality | 93.0¢ | 92¢ | $-5 | $930 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | $-121 | $880 | 16/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants | Lucknow Super Giants | 70.8¢ | 100¢ | $-256 | $460 | 16/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants | Kolkata Knight Riders | 82.7¢ | 0¢ | $-992 | $992 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $498 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | $41 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Invictus Gaming | 69.3¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $104 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockx | Flavio Cobolli | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | $189 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | B8 | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $65 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $364 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud | Casper Ruud | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $890 | 13/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | Flyers | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | $-56 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $2,580 | 12/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Sharks | Sharks | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 12/04/2026 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 91.0¢ | 0¢ | $-455 | $455 | 12/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | FUT Esports | 78.6¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $314 | 11/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Penguins | Capitals | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $445 | 11/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $1,491 | 11/04/2026 |
| Flyers vs. Jets | Flyers | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | $-34 | $130 | 11/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Rockets | 80.2¢ | 0¢ | $-955 | $1,174 | 11/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | 76ers | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | $1,279 | 10/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $150 | 10/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | Astralis | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $783 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $88 | 10/04/2026 |
| Golden Knights vs. Kraken | Golden Knights | 93.0¢ | 0¢ | $-623 | $1,558 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09? | No | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-132 | $148 | 09/04/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Celtics | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-168 | $168 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $1,681 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Pistons | Pistons | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $1,900 | 08/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans | Pelicans | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $1,900 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Yes | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $3,546 | 08/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Top Esports | 90.8¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $526 | 08/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$230 | $730 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | $-56 | $113 | 07/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-432 | $432 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 97.7¢ | 0¢ | $-4,454 | $4,654 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Trump dance during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6? | No | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | $210 | 06/04/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-294 | $300 | 06/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | FOKUS | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-375 | $375 | 06/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $1,375 | 05/04/2026 |
| Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Hynek Barton | Marco Trungelliti | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $1,320 | 05/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5 | Under | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-159 | $159 | 05/04/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Spurs | 72.9¢ | 0¢ | +$181 | $656 | 04/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Pistons | 90.6¢ | 100¢ | +$170 | $1,743 | 04/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Heat | Heat | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$112 | $2,870 | 04/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | TheMongolz | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | $400 | 04/04/2026 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 | Over | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $126 | 04/04/2026 |