Win rate
55.4%
87 W / 70 L
Total PnL
$554
realized $-3,814 · unrealized $4,368
Portfolio
$4,368
volume $682,044
Predictions
240
4.5/day · avg $2,842
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/07/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 62% +$659
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 5¢ | 6¢ | +$29 | win |
| Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 24¢ | 43¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 16¢ | 8¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | +$321 | win |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$32 | win |
| Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 69¢ | 92¢ | +$5 | win |
| Over $10M committed to the Foresee public sale? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 49¢ | 19¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
Crypto 53% +$201
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 63¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Backpack launch a token by December 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Tread launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Hylo launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will GMGN launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 88% +$19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 14¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 42¢ | 17¢ | +$10 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 98¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Politics 50% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Finance 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | Up | 71¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10? | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10? | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 20% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 0% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 45¢ | 36¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | 42¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Sports 0% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks | Hurricanes | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | loss |
Tech 75% $-253
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 58¢ | 18¢ | $-347 | loss |
| Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | win |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 10? | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 10? | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks | Hurricanes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | $915 | 10/04/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5 | Under | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $25 | 08/04/2026 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $45 | 08/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 42.3¢ | 17¢ | +$10 | $88 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 97.9¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $49 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will $MARU reach $900M in Q1? | No | 64.3¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | $228 | 01/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $249 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $43 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $26 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 70.1¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $336 | 31/03/2026 |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5) | Arizona Wildcats | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | $-63 | $1,724 | 29/03/2026 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | $-80 | $1,095 | 28/03/2026 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $1,638 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $239 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $66 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $78 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $1,889 | 22/02/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | Up | 71.1¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $142 | 17/02/2026 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 10? | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $50 | 10/02/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10? | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $250 | 10/02/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10? | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $250 | 10/02/2026 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 10? | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 10/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $152 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 31/01/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $765 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-195 | $195 | 31/01/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $110 | 28/01/2026 |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,250 | $10,358 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | No | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | $1,470 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$206 | $4,629 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $50 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $100 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $30M committed to the Makina public sale? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $846 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 30.7¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | $204 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | No | 74.9¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $302 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $66 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 26.5¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | $106 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $106 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over 10,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $934 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Makina public sale? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $897 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 65.7¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $121 | 01/01/2026 |
| BNB all time high by December 31? | Yes | 44.8¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $75 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $50 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $36 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $50 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over 40,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | Yes | 17.9¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $58 | 01/01/2026 |