42012

Other 49% +$22,795 $472,024 vol · 1855 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	22¢	28¢	+$93	win
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	68¢	92¢	+$77	win
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	61¢	52¢	+$17	win
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	65¢	69¢	+$12	win
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	38¢	48¢	+$14	win
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	55¢	60¢	+$110	win
Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	No	44¢	21¢	+$0	—
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?	No	9¢	100¢	+$416	win
Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	96¢	100¢	$-24	loss

Geopolitics 61% +$6,086 $279,667 vol · 279 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	30¢	0¢	$-214	loss
US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	12¢	6¢	$-45	loss
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	89¢	88¢	+$4	win
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	13¢	12¢	$-0	loss
Will there be a new supreme leader of Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	71¢	0¢	$-301	loss
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	Yes	12¢	12¢	$-3	loss
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	93¢	96¢	+$1	win
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	No	73¢	92¢	$-7	loss
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	2¢	1¢	+$48	win

Politics 58% +$2,544 $45,531 vol · 190 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	53¢	14¢	$-42	loss
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	Yes	53¢	86¢	+$13	win
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Air force" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Trump say "Biden" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?	No	24¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 1?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$191	win
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 1?	No	4¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$348	win
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	No	95¢	100¢	$-73	loss
Will Trump say "Fertilizer" during National Agriculture Day events?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-137	loss

Elections 52% +$1,832 $27,904 vol · 75 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	34¢	23¢	$-17	loss
Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?	No	81¢	77¢	$-2	loss
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	46¢	52¢	+$130	win
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	82¢	76¢	$-21	loss
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	38¢	36¢	$-2	loss
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	82¢	88¢	+$3	win
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	56¢	64¢	+$7	win
Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?	No	92¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	89¢	64¢	$-18	loss
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	29¢	28¢	+$264	win

Economy 65% +$1,698 $12,174 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	No	79¢	77¢	$-1	loss
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	Yes	22¢	23¢	+$2	win
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-332	loss
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?	No	91¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	No	18¢	0¢	$-136	loss
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?	No	9¢	100¢	+$973	win
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?	Yes	6¢	100¢	+$340	win
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels	Ole Miss Rebels	7¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 141.5	Over	55¢	100¢	+$144	win

Esports 50% +$1,116 $78,145 vol · 313 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gen.G complete the League of Legends “Golden Road” in 2026?	No	81¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will Gen.G complete the League of Legends “Golden Road” in 2026?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Vici Gaming	77¢	0¢	$-86	loss
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Team Spirit	53¢	100¢	+$8	win
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	52¢	0¢	+$50	win
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	Evil Geniuses	54¢	0¢	$-90	loss
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner	DRX	55¢	100¢	+$116	win
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Global Esports	18¢	0¢	$-116	loss
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	CYBERSHOKE Esports	72¢	100¢	+$16	win
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	MANA eSports	8¢	0¢	$-101	loss

Culture 54% +$777 $16,439 vol · 67 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-31	loss
Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	3¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	No	7¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$65	win
Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	No	12¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	Yes	89¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Will 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' - Mitski debut week album sales be at least 40k?	No	20¢	100¢	+$96	win
Will GOAT be the highest grossing movie this weekend?	No	17¢	0¢	$-68	loss

Sports 49% +$665 $207,168 vol · 550 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	22¢	100¢	+$199	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	32¢	0¢	+$78	win
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres	Seattle Mariners	48¢	0¢	+$19	win
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	56¢	100¢	+$72	win
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers	Kansas City Royals	48¢	0¢	$-14	loss
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)	Gilbert Burns	21¢	28¢	+$39	win
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres	Colorado Rockies	36¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	43¢	100¢	+$148	win
Warriors vs. Clippers	Clippers	69¢	100¢	+$42	win
Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	24¢	0¢	+$19	win

Mentions 55% +$583 $91,620 vol · 120 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	No	6¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	No	21¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	No	15¢	0¢	$-228	loss
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-68	loss
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-83	loss

Finance 48% $-194 $4,739 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OKX IPO in 2026?	Yes	12¢	14¢	+$167	win
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	25¢	18¢	$-82	loss
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	Yes	21¢	33¢	+$12	win
Will the S&P 500 (SPX) close at 6900–7000 on April 8?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Set Handicap: Zakharova (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5)	Bondar	59¢	100¢	+$217	win
Miami Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	17¢	0¢	$-185	loss
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 24?	Up	25¢	0¢	$-283	loss
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 17?	Down	23¢	0¢	$-281	loss
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	36¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	20¢	0¢	$-52	loss

Weather 61% $-223 $37,077 vol · 446 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 18?	Yes	21¢	16¢	$-5	loss
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 17?	Yes	32¢	100¢	+$71	win
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 17?	No	51¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 17?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 79°F or below on April 17?	No	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 17?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 17?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 80°F or higher on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 16?	No	21¢	0¢	$-103	loss
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Tech 43% $-459 $19,142 vol · 84 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	27¢	16¢	$-14	loss
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	21¢	19¢	+$4	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of April?	No	42¢	48¢	+$8	win
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	96¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	91¢	100¢	+$9	win
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	96¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 17?	Down	13¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $290?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will MrBeast say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next video?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $295?	No	31¢	0¢	$-267	loss

Crypto 50% $-2,832 $77,760 vol · 522 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	73¢	66¢	+$0	win
Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	26¢	0¢	$-132	loss
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	3¢	2¢	$-5	loss
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	96¢	98¢	+$3	win
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 17?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 12?	No	5¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Ethereum Up or Down on April 7?	Down	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1PM ET	Down	84¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will XRP dip to $0.80 March 30-April 5?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will XRP dip to $1.20 March 30-April 5?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-32	loss