Win rate
27.3%
6 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$-52
realized $-1,008 · unrealized $956
Portfolio
$956
volume $147,393
Predictions
34
1.3/day · avg $4,335
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/03/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 17% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15¢ | 15¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 94¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 38% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | No | 86¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | loss |
Weather 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 99¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 88¢ | 40¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 86¢ | 90¢ | $-5 | loss |
Other 0% $-48
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 88¢ | 97¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (39)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $3,590 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $3,586 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $976 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 97.7¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $947 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 1¢ | $-1 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 96.1¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,043 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 87.9¢ | 97¢ | $-30 | $7,752 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,182 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.6¢ | 88¢ | $-5 | $961 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 11.3¢ | 12¢ | $-12 | $552 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 97.8¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $97 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $53 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $7,537 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | No | 85.9¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $547 | 16/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 95.4¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | $963 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96.8¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $87 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 94.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,042 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | $71 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85.1¢ | 85¢ | $-1 | $1,145 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.1¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | $957 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15.5¢ | 15¢ | $-3 | $177 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $945 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98.2¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $94 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15.8¢ | 17¢ | +$0 | $246 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 83.8¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | $241 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8.6¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | $88 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12.8¢ | 11¢ | +$0 | $40 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 86.4¢ | 90¢ | $-5 | $2,727 | 20/09/2026 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 87.8¢ | 40¢ | $-23 | $974 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 98.9¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $96 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 72.6¢ | 73¢ | +$1 | $955 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 7¢ | +$5 | $381 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.1¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $189 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $87 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $24 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 96.5¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $3,613 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.3¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | $326 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $93 | 07/11/2028 |