Win rate
23.8%
24 W / 77 L
Total PnL
$1,103
realized $14 · unrealized $1,090
Portfolio
$1,090
volume $234,368
Predictions
105
2.5/day · avg $2,232
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 59% +$1,288
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Based FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | win |
| SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks | SMU Mustangs | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16? | No | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
Geopolitics 80% +$114
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
Politics 5% $-37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 12% $-260
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Bulls vs. 76ers | 76ers | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Rockets | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Jets vs. Penguins | Jets | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | Hawks | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Magic vs. Hornets | Magic | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Penguins vs. Utah | Penguins | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $92 | 26/03/2026 |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $129 | 25/03/2026 |
| Bulls vs. 76ers | 76ers | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $76 | 25/03/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Rockets | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $61 | 22/03/2026 |
| Jets vs. Penguins | Jets | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $61 | 21/03/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | Hawks | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 21/03/2026 |
| Magic vs. Hornets | Magic | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $64 | 18/03/2026 |
| SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks | SMU Mustangs | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $108 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $96 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16? | No | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $80 | 16/03/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Utah | Penguins | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $85 | 15/03/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Thunder | Thunder | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $66 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,337 | 15/03/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Jets | Rangers | 41.9¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | $75 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $89 | 13/03/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers | Timberwolves | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $83 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 100¢ | +$312 | $88 | 10/03/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Red Wings | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $85 | 10/03/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Suns | Hornets | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $82 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $85 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $110 | 06/03/2026 |
| Lightning vs. Jets | Lightning | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $106 | 06/03/2026 |
| Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5) | West Ham United FC | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $112 | 04/03/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Predators | Red Wings | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | $124 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$961 | $1,865 | 13/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,343 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,366 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,586 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $627 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,272 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,342 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,408 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,335 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $3,980 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | $4,458 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Cezchia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $508 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $794 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $816 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $862 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $870 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $930 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $949 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,107 | 20/07/2026 |