elreptil

Crypto 77% +$17,975 $472,054 vol · 35 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	28¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	No	91¢	100¢	+$308	win
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?	No	96¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	55¢	100¢	$-54	loss
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	No	52¢	100¢	$-88	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31?	Up	35¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?	No	95¢	100¢	+$53	win
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1,043	win
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?	No	96¢	100¢	+$232	win
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?	No	79¢	0¢	$-15,000	loss

Geopolitics 70% +$5,239 $325,306 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	18¢	100¢	$-1,396	loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	50¢	0¢	$-4,456	loss
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	85¢	90¢	+$342	win
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	No	91¢	81¢	$-1,729	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$3,937	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-558	loss
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$570	win
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	17¢	100¢	+$232	win
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-300	loss
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	$-1,709	loss

Economy 100% +$297 $3,000 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	91¢	100¢	+$297	win

Politics 83% +$231 $16,424 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	86¢	88¢	+$249	win
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-38	loss
Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?	No	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?	No	84¢	100¢	+$6	win

Elections 50% +$177 $730 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-170	loss
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$347	win

Sports 29% $-444 $2,159 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	11¢	9¢	$-247	loss
Rams vs. Seahawks	Rams	44¢	0¢	$-84	loss
Rams vs. Bears	Rams	65¢	100¢	+$162	win
Texans vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	24¢	0¢	$-141	loss
Chiefs vs. Bills	Chiefs	31¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$66	win

Other 33% $-545 $31,953 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	65¢	68¢	$-1,768	loss
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner	Carlos Alcaraz	50¢	0¢	$-379	loss
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinner	Jiri Lehecka	8¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?	No	85¢	100¢	$-564	loss
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner	Sinner	91¢	0¢	$-1,000	loss
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)	Alcaraz	40¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tien	Zverev	83¢	100¢	+$258	win
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?	Yes	33¢	100¢	+$2,030	win
US strike on Colombia by January 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$159	win
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	$-48	loss