Win rate
63.2%
12 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$34
realized $-650 · unrealized $684
Portfolio
$684
volume $9,938
Predictions
50
0.2/day · avg $199
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 67% +$34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 43% +$19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 90¢ | 88¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Culture 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 U.S. Open? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (34)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $28 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 National League Championship? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $62 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will Jose Vinicius Junior win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 26/10/2025 |
| Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 26/10/2025 |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $54 | 26/10/2025 |
| Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $22 | 19/10/2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 30/07/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 30/06/2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 30/06/2025 |
| Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 24/06/2025 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 U.S. Open? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $29 | 15/06/2025 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $34 | 08/06/2025 |
| Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $37 | 18/05/2025 |
| Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election? | Yes | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $34 | 18/05/2025 |
| Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $34 | 11/05/2025 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 76.2¢ | 77¢ | +$17 | $669 | 07/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 88.3¢ | 90¢ | +$34 | $639 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 87.9¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $684 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $669 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 89.6¢ | 88¢ | +$1 | $702 | 07/11/2028 |