AurelusM

Esports 41% +$21,980 $246,699 vol · 242 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	7¢	10¢	+$18	win
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)	Top Esports	48¢	100¢	+$1,550	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Team Falcons	33¢	100¢	+$1,675	win
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	DN SOOPers	31¢	0¢	$-1,529	loss
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	MOUZ	52¢	0¢	$-1,794	loss
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	MOUZ	62¢	100¢	+$1,140	win
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	FURIA	44¢	100¢	+$1,110	win
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Favbet	60¢	0¢	$-1,200	loss
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	61¢	100¢	+$265	win
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Oh My God	51¢	100¢	+$2,220	win

Other 48% +$11,330 $558,485 vol · 440 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes	24¢	19¢	$-32	loss
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	71¢	87¢	+$204	win
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	No	65¢	100¢	+$108	win
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	33¢	36¢	+$30	win
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-930	loss
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	86¢	74¢	+$2	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	34¢	21¢	$-130	loss
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	43¢	34¢	$-223	loss
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	65¢	68¢	+$85	win
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$360	win

Crypto 44% +$1,711 $15,291 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	71¢	50¢	$-102	loss
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	Yes	13¢	13¢	$-11	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-590	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	41¢	100¢	+$595	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	19¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	3¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 9?	No	80¢	100¢	+$10	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8PM ET	Down	51¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 8?	No	57¢	100¢	$-260	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?	No	19¢	0¢	$-487	loss

Tech 83% +$418 $1,004 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 10?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$116	win
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	19¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$18	win

Mentions 100% +$318 $278 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?	No	71¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?	No	29¢	100¢	+$246	win

Economy 100% +$23 $710 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$16	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$6	win

Finance 57% $-511 $4,383 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?	No	86¢	100¢	+$70	win
Will Dell say "AI Factory" during earnings call?	No	85¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will FS KKR Capital (FSK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	61¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-600	loss
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	79¢	0¢	$-300	loss
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$290	win
Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$278	win
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?	No	66¢	0¢	$-52	loss

Weather 0% $-916 $920 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes	Missouri Tigers	46¢	0¢	$-916	loss

Politics 30% $-1,261 $4,269 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5¢	6¢	$-17	loss
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-219	loss
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	17¢	16¢	$-14	loss
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	60¢	58¢	$-575	loss
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?	No	69¢	0¢	$-345	loss
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?	No	74¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?	No	83¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?	No	37¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?	No	60¢	0¢	$-100	loss

Culture 50% $-1,884 $4,328 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$435	win
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-2,319	loss

Elections 40% $-3,283 $3,520 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	68¢	0¢	$-3,066	loss
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?	No	81¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	12¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Geopolitics 58% $-5,946 $20,744 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	56¢	70¢	+$37	win
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$1,981	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	60¢	100¢	+$25	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-1,160	loss
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-585	loss
Senators vs. Capitals	Senators	55¢	0¢	$-1,485	loss
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5	Under	58¢	100¢	+$630	win
Senators vs. Canucks	Senators	67¢	100¢	+$165	win
Spread: Senators (-1.5)	Canucks	52¢	0¢	$-1,305	loss
Senators vs. Oilers	Oilers	51¢	100¢	+$735	win

Sports 44% $-11,157 $268,613 vol · 276 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Rangers vs. Panthers	Panthers	44¢	100¢	+$1,400	win
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	49¢	0¢	$-1,225	loss
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-2,560	loss
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	35¢	0¢	$-858	loss
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)	Grizzlies	48¢	0¢	$-1,200	loss
Wizards vs. Nets	Wizards	40¢	0¢	$-600	loss
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers	Clippers	64¢	0¢	$-1,920	loss
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5	Under	49¢	100¢	+$1,020	win
Cavaliers vs. Lakers	Cavaliers	45¢	0¢	$-1,328	loss
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Galions	48¢	100¢	+$357	win