0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794

Geopolitics 54% +$42,195 $538,342 vol · 226 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	19¢	16¢	$-820	loss
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	13¢	14¢	+$132	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	41¢	41¢	+$0	—
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	25¢	100¢	$-1,272	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	34¢	20¢	+$28	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$10	win
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-537	loss
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	9¢	9¢	$-1,289	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	32¢	30¢	$-446	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	31¢	34¢	+$1,399	win

Other 80% +$22,454 $144,013 vol · 231 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$71	win
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	55¢	31¢	$-5	loss
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	Yes	32¢	41¢	+$1	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	4¢	4¢	+$182	win
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	Yes	39¢	32¢	+$54	win
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	69¢	78¢	+$5	win
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	59¢	78¢	$-3	loss
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	Yes	8¢	8¢	+$3	win

Politics 87% +$2,843 $287,853 vol · 257 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$0	—
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	No	54¢	75¢	+$4	win
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10¢	10¢	+$1,153	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	85¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	No	79¢	94¢	+$3	win
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	71¢	68¢	+$1	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	32¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	30¢	16¢	$-134	loss

Elections 81% +$909 $22,127 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2¢	1¢	+$0	—
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4¢	2¢	+$2	win
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	58¢	72¢	+$13	win
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	48¢	80¢	+$21	win
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2¢	4¢	+$56	win
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	19¢	22¢	+$152	win
Will Leavitt say "Voter ID" or "VoterID" during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	92¢	94¢	+$1	win

Crypto 100% +$260 $177,606 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in February?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)	No	90¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 3?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in January?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will BNB dip to $800 in January?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$11	win

Tech 100% +$48 $4,685 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	47¢	70¢	+$2	win
Will Google say "Nano Banana" during earnings call?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Google say "Quantum" during earnings call?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "BIRDS - Turnstile" win Best Metal Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Tesla say "Gigafactory" during earnings call?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Tesla say "Full Self-Driving" or "FSD" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 78% +$12 $1,929 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	11¢	12¢	+$3	win
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$12	win
Will Leavitt say "Olympics" or "Women's Sports" during the next press briefing?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "UFC" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Finance 50% $-2,612 $21,925 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-528	loss
Will PayPal say "Bank" during earnings call?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-2,520	loss
Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?	No	1¢	0¢	$-284	loss
Will Ryanair say "On-Time" or "On Time" during earnings call?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will J.D. Vance say "Stock Market" during the March for Life?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Culture 83% $-3,494 $26,331 vol · 75 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-752	loss
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	6¢	0¢	+$28	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	39¢	0¢	$-123	loss
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	6¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-180	loss
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-278	loss
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	19¢	0¢	$-212	loss
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	44¢	0¢	$-300	loss
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	19¢	0¢	$-461	loss