Win rate
78.5%
128 W / 35 L
Total PnL
$13,557
realized $-20,954 · unrealized $34,512
Portfolio
$34,512
volume $2,980,567
Predictions
175
4.8/day · avg $17,032
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 84% +$9,864
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 79¢ | +$2 | win |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 79¢ | 76¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will VIX close above 50 by June 30? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$3 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 81¢ | 80¢ | $-7 | loss |
Politics 86% +$1,300
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | +$1,259 | win |
| Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? | No | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$32 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Yes | 73¢ | 86¢ | $-199 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 89¢ | 55¢ | +$12 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$4 | win |
| War Powers resolution passes the Senate? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Crypto 91% +$377
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Solana reach $200 in February? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 25? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-198 | loss |
Finance 100% +$71
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 49¢ | 56¢ | +$68 | win |
| Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 61% $-256
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$742 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$131 | win |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? | No | 90¢ | 96¢ | $-7 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-3,773 | loss |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | No | 62¢ | 25¢ | +$0 | — |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 95¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-51 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 64¢ | 99¢ | +$32 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $5,788 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 94.4¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $779 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $138 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $351 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $206 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | No | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $56 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $887 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 10? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $1,986 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | +$53 | $159 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,643 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 37.0¢ | 9¢ | +$1 | $224 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$193 | $8,139 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $6,126 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $24 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,697 | $90,843 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,099 | $163,101 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,097 | $121,929 | 31/03/2026 |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31? | No | 87.1¢ | 100¢ | +$522 | $5,760 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$508 | $55,471 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$505 | $50,887 | 31/03/2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$373 | $10,335 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$338 | $24,592 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$158 | $26,538 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$143 | $23,866 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $41,048 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | +$89 | $2,484 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $3,748 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March? | No | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $1,074 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $6,373 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | No | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $1,570 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $3,191 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $1,548 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $462 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $3,397 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March? | No | 74.5¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $176 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $904 | 31/03/2026 |
| Hillary Clinton charged by March 31? | No | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $766 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,000 on the final trading day of March 2026? | Yes | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $453 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $3,608 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $483 | 31/03/2026 |
| Les Wexner arrested by March 31? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $567 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of March? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $1,434 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $622 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $2,019 | 31/03/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $215 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $779 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,222 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $218 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,101 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Oman strike Iran by March 31? | No | 90.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $288 | 31/03/2026 |