on-cinema

Other 55% +$7,539 $203,583 vol · 204 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$87	win
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	$-807	loss
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	47¢	52¢	+$0	—
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	86¢	60¢	$-140	loss
Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?	Send Help	89¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Greenland 2: Migration make 25 million or more domestically by January 31?	No	82¢	100¢	+$700	win
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 390m by January 31?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 400m by January 31?	No	98¢	100¢	$-38	loss

Culture 46% +$4,354 $213,368 vol · 274 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-116	loss
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	4¢	1¢	+$35	win
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$184	win
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	No	43¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	No	92¢	100¢	$-137	loss
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?	No	92¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?	Yes	30¢	100¢	+$140	win
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	No	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	77¢	100¢	+$11	win

Sports 100% +$344 $559 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?	Yes	51¢	100¢	+$341	win
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $43–47M?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Politics 100% +$3 $4,143 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	93¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	79¢	81¢	+$2	win

Tech 67% $-4 $312 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?	No	89¢	95¢	+$0	—
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	87¢	84¢	$-7	loss

Finance 0% $-72 $84 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	No	35¢	5¢	$-72	loss

Elections 18% $-991 $16,787 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	99¢	99¢	$-98	loss
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	24¢	24¢	+$0	—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	22¢	26¢	+$6	win