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Crypto 46% +$32,416 $243,862 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	52¢	51¢	$-40	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	11¢	0¢	$-101	loss
Brisbane International, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Benjamin Bonzi	Bonzi	77¢	0¢	$-375	loss
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-317	loss
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	No	56¢	0¢	+$241	win
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$93	win
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-259	loss
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-374	loss

Esports 43% +$19,362 $892,190 vol · 772 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	RED Canids	4¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	7¢	0¢	$-822	loss
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	71¢	100¢	$-153	loss
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	G2	19¢	0¢	$-181	loss
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Bilibili Gaming	57¢	0¢	$-960	loss
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner	Nongshim Esports Academy	12¢	0¢	$-93	loss
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner	MVK Esports	45¢	100¢	+$891	win
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	64¢	100¢	$-31	loss
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner	Leviatan Esports	52¢	0¢	$-1,322	loss
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner	3DMAX	10¢	0¢	$-55	loss

Other 43% +$19,125 $1,676,523 vol · 1224 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	No	77¢	75¢	$-80	loss
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	47¢	100¢	$-21	loss
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	88¢	100¢	+$600	win
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	32¢	0¢	$-1,075	loss
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	86¢	100¢	+$1,559	win
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	81¢	100¢	+$13	win
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	70¢	100¢	+$1,017	win
Brevis FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	78¢	100¢	+$21	win
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-525	loss
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	68¢	66¢	$-20	loss

Geopolitics 48% +$1,886 $26,784 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	50¢	50¢	$-20	loss
Senators vs. Panthers	Panthers	39¢	100¢	+$183	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-194	loss
Sao Paulo: Gonzalo Bueno vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Gonzalo Bueno	28¢	50¢	+$18	win
Senators vs. Lightning	Lightning	23¢	100¢	+$226	win
First Round Pool D: Israel vs. Nicaragua	Israel	60¢	100¢	+$160	win
Ducks vs. Senators	Ducks	8¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ NXT	16¢	100¢	+$159	win
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	63¢	100¢	+$164	win
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?	No	61¢	100¢	+$234	win

Sports 48% +$684 $1,245,393 vol · 927 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	16¢	17¢	+$14	win
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	58¢	56¢	+$365	win
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Trail Blazers vs. Suns	Suns	52¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Sharks vs. Predators	Predators	9¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Wild vs. Blues	Wild	24¢	0¢	$-68	loss
Canucks vs. Ducks	Canucks	31¢	100¢	+$135	win
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	73¢	42¢	$-6	loss
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)	Tatiana Suarez	59¢	100¢	+$287	win

Elections 20% +$421 $20,957 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-176	loss
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-221	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	87¢	100¢	$-89	loss
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-260	loss
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-32	loss

Culture 0% $-3 $336 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Pedro Boscardin Dias	48¢	48¢	$-3	loss

Economy 25% $-790 $40,582 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-748	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$265	win
SMU Mustangs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs	SMU Mustangs	55¢	100¢	$-272	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-35	loss

Weather 0% $-844 $2,552 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Australian Open Women's: Storm Hunter vs Ekaterine Gorgodze	Gorgodze	50¢	0¢	$-402	loss
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Miami Hurricanes	Miami Hurricanes	73¢	100¢	$-269	loss
Miami Hurricanes vs. Georgetown Hoyas	Georgetown Hoyas	35¢	0¢	$-173	loss

Mentions 30% $-2,684 $15,940 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	Yes	26¢	100¢	$-156	loss
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-311	loss
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-77	loss
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?	No	78¢	100¢	+$98	win
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-446	loss
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?	No	83¢	0¢	$-219	loss
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?	No	82¢	100¢	+$92	win
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-579	loss
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?	Yes	13¢	0¢	+$9	win

Politics 15% $-3,483 $6,015 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	58¢	39¢	$-40	loss
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5¢	6¢	+$5	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	52¢	0¢	+$150	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	52¢	58¢	$-3	loss
Australian Open Men's: Billy Harris vs Chris Rodesch	Harris	43¢	0¢	$-113	loss
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-64	loss
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	No	4¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-212	loss
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-350	loss
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-2,475	loss

Tech 27% $-6,305 $11,086 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?	No	89¢	0¢	$-2,669	loss
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-155	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	60¢	100¢	+$280	win
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-77	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$102	win