Win rate
68.4%
26 W / 12 L
Total PnL
$149
realized $-1,691 · unrealized $1,840
Portfolio
$1,840
volume $212,500
Predictions
46
0.7/day · avg $4,620
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 69% +$154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | No | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$76 | win |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 43¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 61¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Economy 75% +$115
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 100% +$113
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 21¢ | 27¢ | +$113 | win |
Crypto 100% +$77
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Solana all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
Culture 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 50% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 40¢ | 2¢ | +$3 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 59¢ | 98¢ | $-7 | loss |
Sports 25% $-34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 50% $-294
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | 13¢ | 12¢ | $-291 | loss |
| Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves? | Yes | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (42)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 40.0¢ | 2¢ | +$3 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 43.0¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $215 | 17/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 59.0¢ | 98¢ | $-7 | $148 | 17/04/2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $57 | 16/04/2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $92 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $110 | 01/04/2026 |
| Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $110 | 01/04/2026 |
| Solana all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $328 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $95 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $50 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $50 | 08/02/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $900 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $26 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $101 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $24 | 31/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 17/09/2025 |
| Ipswich Town wins the Premier League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $201 | 25/05/2025 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,130 | 25/05/2025 |
| Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $998 | 09/02/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 31/01/2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 29/01/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $32 | 29/01/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,109 | 29/01/2025 |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,071 | 20/01/2025 |
| Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 31/12/2024 |
| Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 29/12/2024 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $600 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $285 | 01/01/1970 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 27¢ | +$113 | $5,628 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves? | Yes | 12.9¢ | 14¢ | +$33 | $711 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | No | 86.3¢ | 97¢ | +$76 | $604 | 30/06/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | 12.6¢ | 12¢ | $-291 | $2,336 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 01/07/2026 |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? | No | 96.6¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $101 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | $54 | 06/12/2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 91.0¢ | 93¢ | +$19 | $728 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $27 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $44 | 31/03/2027 |
| Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $264 | 01/01/2028 |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 1¢ | $-37 | $98 | 07/11/2028 |