Win rate
55.1%
241 W / 196 L
Total PnL
$8,914
realized $-819 · unrealized $9,733
Portfolio
$9,733
volume $203,366
Predictions
525
3.2/day · avg $387
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 56% +$4,444
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 8¢ | 30¢ | +$488 | win |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 40¢ | 78¢ | +$274 | win |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Yes | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | 39¢ | 32¢ | $-78 | loss |
| Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | 37¢ | 26¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | No | 53¢ | 43¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | win |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? | Yes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | loss |
Other 57% +$2,863
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | Yes | 41¢ | 48¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? | Yes | 60¢ | 5¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 16¢ | 34¢ | +$90 | win |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | Yes | 67¢ | 34¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | Yes | 54¢ | 40¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 6¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | No | 31¢ | 91¢ | +$94 | win |
| Will Leicester Tigers win? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Culture 67% +$852
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 5¢ | 100¢ | +$706 | win |
| Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-134 | loss |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$287 | win |
Geopolitics 70% +$732
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$233 | win |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-265 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 49¢ | 8¢ | $-97 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$306 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Russia join the Board of Peace? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | win |
Elections 50% +$437
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$260 | win |
| Will Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$317 | win |
| Will turnout be between 48% and 52% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Tech 50% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
Politics 29% $-212
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$23 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 16¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$197 | win |
| Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | No | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December? | No | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
Crypto 52% $-610
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 28¢ | 42¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$170 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Down | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-497 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | Up | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | Down | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Down | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Down | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Up | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Down | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $91 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | Arsenal FC | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $38 | 14/04/2026 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 40.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1,304 | $901 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 24.8¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | $371 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | $140 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | $185 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 65.2¢ | 100¢ | +$467 | $872 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$128 | $2,000 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $222 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $120 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 66.2¢ | 100¢ | $-38 | $312 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 29.3¢ | 0¢ | $-497 | $453 | 01/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 68.9¢ | 100¢ | +$306 | $678 | 31/03/2026 |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | No | 71.2¢ | 100¢ | +$128 | $389 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $290 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $943 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | Up | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $77 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | Down | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-03-29? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $304 | 29/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Down | 51.8¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $74 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Down | 51.6¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Wales win? | Yes | 43.1¢ | 100¢ | +$256 | $195 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will France win? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$188 | $862 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Ireland win? | Yes | 69.9¢ | 100¢ | +$148 | $343 | 21/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $35 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 100¢ | +$706 | $41 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $60 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 14.4¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $40 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars? | No | 67.5¢ | 0¢ | $-134 | $134 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? | Yes | 60.3¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | $250 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 Six Nations championship? | Yes | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$397 | $1,685 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Scotland win? | Yes | 18.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $34 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will England win? | Yes | 71.8¢ | 0¢ | $-364 | $364 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will France win? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-736 | $736 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Ireland win? | Yes | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $603 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11? | Yes | 45.9¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | $100 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | Yes | 64.9¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10? | Yes | 58.9¢ | 100¢ | +$305 | $438 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | 81.1¢ | 100¢ | +$475 | $2,034 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | No | 86.8¢ | 100¢ | +$155 | $1,037 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? | Yes | 63.4¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $163 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will France win? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $2,321 | 01/03/2026 |