Win rate
67.8%
637 W / 303 L
Total PnL
$-886
realized $-14,278 · unrealized $13,391
Portfolio
$13,391
volume $1,108,702
Predictions
1,531
16.4/day · avg $724
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/08/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 66% +$898
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | Yes | 72¢ | 64¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 24¢ | 24¢ | +$2 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 67¢ | 84¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | No | 69¢ | 36¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump name "Netanyahu" in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 70¢ | 38¢ | $-45 | loss |
Geopolitics 67% +$720
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 39¢ | 70¢ | +$320 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-142 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 68¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 58¢ | 68¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | +$65 | win |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$61 | win |
Culture 80% +$507
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Project Hail Mary" make it into the IMDb Top 250? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 69¢ | 93¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 78¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will "Anthropic" or "Claude" be said at the Oscars? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$216 | win |
| Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Esports 96% +$159
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map Handicap: ex-KRÜ Esports (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5) | Procyon Gaming | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs | Johnny Speeds | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Game Handicap: LYNX (-2.5) vs Winter Bear (+2.5) | Winter Bear | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Pigeons (BO3) - JB Pro League Season 2 Group stage | OlyBet SB | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | Aurora Gaming | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | TheMongolz | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs | OG | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Brute vs home (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group B | Brute | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Vasco Esports (+1.5) | Vasco Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs | fnatic | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
Mentions 75% +$39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kanye tweet again by April 30? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 31? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Economy 0% $-34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
Finance 67% $-38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | Down | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10? | Up | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance say "Stock Market" during the March for Life? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Elections 60% $-66
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Weather 78% $-72
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flood mindshare all time high by March 31? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$33 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5 | Over | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | Miami Hurricanes | 54¢ | 100¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on March 19? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on March 12? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or higher on March 11? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 10? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 67% $-267
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 79¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | win |
| Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| ChatGPT Outage by April 10? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| ChatGPT Outage by March 15? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will "Ultra-wide" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Meta (META) close above $660 on March 2? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Sports 57% $-1,052
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | Seattle Mariners | 51¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5 | Yes | 48¢ | 29¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$170 | win |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | Yes | 59¢ | 55¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5 | Yes | 49¢ | 47¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | Raptors | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$2 | win |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5 | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-129 | loss |
Other 69% $-1,358
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 65¢ | 56¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$3 | win |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Over $20M committed to the Space public sale? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Paradex FDV above $40M one day after launch? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? | No | 68¢ | 73¢ | +$32 | win |
| Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
Crypto 67% $-1,442
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 42¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 93¢ | 91¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 39¢ | 50¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 80¢ | 6¢ | $-97 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027? | No | 56¢ | 84¢ | +$162 | win |
| Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? | Yes | 56¢ | 76¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | No | 72¢ | 85¢ | +$46 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-450 | $640 | 18/04/2026 |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 16¢ | $-155 | $357 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$170 | $220 | 18/04/2026 |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | Yes | 59.4¢ | 55¢ | $-12 | $169 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will "Corner" be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match? | Yes | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $233 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will "Stadium" be said 5+ times during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match? | Yes | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $189 | 18/04/2026 |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5 | Yes | 48.9¢ | 47¢ | $-2 | $61 | 18/04/2026 |
| Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $75 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | Raptors | 51.0¢ | 52¢ | +$2 | $55 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will "Yellow Card" be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match? | Yes | 83.7¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $73 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will "Tackle" be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match? | Yes | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $62 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "God" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17? | No | 57.8¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $132 | 17/04/2026 |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5 | Yes | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $147 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $68 | 17/04/2026 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5 | Over | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | $-31 | $274 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-129 | $7,097 | 17/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$523 | $460 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | $1,116 | 15/04/2026 |
| Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Marco Cecchinato | Martin Landaluce | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $61 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $102 | 15/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Nicolas Jarry vs Dominic Stephan Stricker | Dominic Stephan Stricker | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $155 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | $-102 | $887 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | Arsenal FC | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-214 | $9,500 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | No | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-332 | $332 | 15/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Oriol Roca Batalla | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-532 | $532 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-269 | $272 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 20.0¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $49 | 14/04/2026 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | Under | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $9,660 | 14/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Heat | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $248 | 13/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Kansas City Royals | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $202 | 13/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $377 | 13/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Chicago Cubs | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $480 | 13/04/2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $980 | 13/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $860 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $92 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Panthers | Rangers | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $73 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will there be 2+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament? | No | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 68.1¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 12) | Yes | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $425 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (April 12) | No | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $34 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Republican" during NYC rally? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-146 | $146 | 12/04/2026 |
| Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5 | Over | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $224 | 11/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5 | Over | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $2,350 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) | Suns | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $50 | 11/04/2026 |
| ChatGPT Outage by April 10? | No | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $41 | 10/04/2026 |