tiongbu

Tech 100% +$44 $548 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q1 2026	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
ChatGPT Outage by March 20?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?	No	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 10?	Yes	63¢	0¢	+$3	win
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 5?	Up	68¢	100¢	+$29	win

Politics 83% +$4 $1,616 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	83¢	99¢	$-39	loss
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	No	79¢	100¢	+$9	win

Weather 33% $-21 $124 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?	No	70¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 15?	No	77¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 20?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Finance 64% $-66 $1,628 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	90¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirstea	Anna Bondar	31¢	30¢	$-3	loss
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Oleksandra Oliynykova	48¢	0¢	$-27	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 25?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?	Down	86¢	100¢	+$16	win
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 10?	Up	65¢	0¢	$-65	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	Up	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 23?	Down	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	97¢	97¢	+$0	win

Sports 53% $-89 $5,609 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	60¢	100¢	+$10	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva	Iga Swiatek	65¢	64¢	$-10	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	41¢	0¢	+$10	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez	Leylah Fernandez	57¢	100¢	+$0	—
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Linda Noskova	Linda Noskova	54¢	100¢	$-16	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	32¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	92¢	100¢	+$16	win
Trail Blazers vs. Suns	Trail Blazers	73¢	100¢	+$15	win
Red Wings vs. Panthers	Red Wings	59¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Rangers vs. Lightning	Rangers	43¢	100¢	$-40	loss

Elections 60% $-117 $3,026 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	86¢	92¢	$-4	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	85¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	70¢	81¢	+$2	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	86¢	18¢	$-106	loss
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	85¢	90¢	+$16	win
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?	No	80¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	89¢	0¢	$-100	loss

Geopolitics 74% $-141 $13,179 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	No	86¢	92¢	+$1	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	91¢	94¢	+$0	—
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	69¢	35¢	+$0	—
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$10	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	57¢	100¢	$-22	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$11	win
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?	Yes	80¢	0¢	$-83	loss

Mentions 50% $-202 $908 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	90¢	90¢	$-0	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	No	94¢	0¢	$-93	loss
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	92¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	No	81¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	No	83¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	Yes	81¢	0¢	$-119	loss

Esports 59% $-757 $8,898 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Aeterna Esports vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Season	TITANS	47¢	42¢	$-30	loss
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	Dignitas	44¢	0¢	+$0	—
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	Disguised	55¢	100¢	+$0	—
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion	25¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	Nova Esports	42¢	100¢	+$38	win
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	Karmine Corp	42¢	0¢	+$5	win
LoL: Aeterna Esports vs StoneHenge Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season	StoneHenge Esports	47¢	100¢	+$2	win
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	Team Vitality	75¢	0¢	+$-0	—
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Esports Academy	61¢	100¢	$-25	loss
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	Team Heretics	53¢	100¢	$-55	loss

Other 48% $-2,270 $58,313 vol · 168 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	82¢	82¢	$-1	loss
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	74¢	76¢	$-0	loss
Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	30¢	12¢	$-21	loss
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	34¢	40¢	+$18	win
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	25¢	20¢	$-3	loss
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	69¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	29¢	36¢	+$5	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	90¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	76¢	100¢	$-4	loss

Crypto 68% $-19,207 $122,314 vol · 599 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-71	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	87¢	100¢	+$29	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	80¢	100¢	+$25	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	96¢	100¢	+$14	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	88¢	100¢	+$14	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	90¢	100¢	+$13	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	95¢	100¢	+$10	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	96¢	100¢	+$9	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$4	win