0xb7083d0f33F5b64F81E26B5B6C5799b22637Ef3D-1752783448093

Other 50% +$77 $1,488 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	83¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	82¢	90¢	$-1	loss
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	76¢	98¢	+$12	win
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	43¢	43¢	+$1	win
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	77¢	79¢	+$0	win
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	No	24¢	24¢	$-5	loss
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	44¢	44¢	$-0	loss
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	42¢	40¢	+$6	win
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	65¢	66¢	+$0	win
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	86¢	100¢	+$4	win

Geopolitics 50% +$30 $287 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$42	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	78¢	92¢	+$16	win
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?	No	25¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Politics 100% +$3 $38 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	36¢	40¢	+$3	win

Sports 44% +$2 $651 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	27¢	65¢	+$0	win
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	42¢	35¢	$-9	loss
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will New Caledonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	89¢	100¢	$-4	loss

Weather 36% $-181 $423 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 1?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 17?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 17?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 13?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 13?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 13?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 12?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 64°F or higher on March 12?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 12?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 12?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-38	loss