R21llsa

Other 75% +$301 $3,135 vol · 61 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	39¢	44¢	+$1	win
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by March 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	34¢	48¢	+$0	win
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$7	win
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	Yes	8¢	8¢	+$11	win
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$6	win
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	41¢	52¢	+$4	win
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	4¢	5¢	+$12	win
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	7¢	19¢	+$12	win

Sports 88% +$248 $8,263 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$1	win
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-1	loss
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	15¢	15¢	+$2	win
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	25¢	99¢	+$5	win
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	3¢	2¢	+$0	win
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	20¢	22¢	+$0	win
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	27¢	28¢	+$19	win
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	29¢	30¢	+$12	win
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-2	loss

Politics 86% +$73 $2,687 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-0	loss
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3¢	3¢	+$1	win
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	35¢	42¢	+$8	win
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	86¢	88¢	+$0	win
Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	4¢	2¢	$-1	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	31¢	40¢	+$1	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	81¢	40¢	$-0	loss
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	11¢	8¢	+$3	win
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	No	89¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in February?	No	89¢	100¢	+$3	win

Elections 95% +$59 $4,328 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	11¢	11¢	+$1	win
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$1	win
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	4¢	2¢	+$13	win
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	6¢	6¢	+$4	win
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	4¢	6¢	+$13	win
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	69¢	62¢	+$1	win
Will the People Power Party win 0 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	8¢	6¢	+$8	win
Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	10¢	3¢	$-56	loss
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$27	win

Culture 78% +$50 $913 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	32¢	46¢	+$6	win
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?	Yes	14¢	0¢	+$14	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Marty Supreme win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Kylie Jenner attend the Oscars?	No	8¢	0¢	$-3	loss

Tech 67% +$39 $422 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Meta acquire TikTok?	Yes	4¢	4¢	+$1	win
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 16?	Up	93¢	100¢	+$3	win
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	No	72¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$13	win
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-0	loss

Mentions 71% +$26 $518 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kanye tweet again by March 31?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-1	loss

Weather 75% +$22 $731 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 17?	Yes	32¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 17?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 17?	Yes	41¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 17?	Yes	9¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 17?	Yes	29¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?	Yes	41¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on March 17?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on March 16?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on March 16?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 16?	Yes	39¢	0¢	+$3	win

Economy 100% +$22 $64 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?	Yes	25¢	14¢	+$13	win

Geopolitics 100% +$13 $440 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	58¢	52¢	+$2	win
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$0	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?	Yes	8¢	0¢	+$2	win

Esports 100% +$13 $74 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs	Nongshim Esports Academy	61¢	100¢	+$2	win
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs	sleepers	69¢	100¢	+$4	win
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs	NRG Academy	44¢	50¢	+$7	win

Finance 50% +$0 $81 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$0	win
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	Yes	56¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Crypto 56% $-39 $4,126 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9¢	10¢	+$2	win
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	2¢	3¢	+$14	win
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 19?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 19?	Yes	19¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 19?	No	25¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 17?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 17?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?	Up	29¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?	No	35¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 24?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$2	win