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0xb6987E4A9B5F238BF627ff2AA511F0C0Da50976A-1770763811959
0xb6987e4a9b5f238bf627ff2aa511f0c0da50976a · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
26.7%
4 W / 11 L
Total PnL
$4,386
realized $1,721 · unrealized $2,665
Portfolio
$2,665
volume $719,881
Predictions
15
0.5/day · avg $47,992
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 11% +$4,388
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 9¢ | 1¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | loss |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-263 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,465 | loss |
Economy 67% +$125
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$102 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
Other 50% $-91
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-105 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 18¢ | 26¢ | +$14 | win |
Politics 0% $-367
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 19¢ | 14¢ | $-367 | loss |
Recent Trades (15)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $41 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $108 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 3.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6,455 | $929 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,465 | $1,362 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 19.3¢ | 14¢ | $-367 | $1,781 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | +$36 | $578 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $50 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 1¢ | $-263 | $2,081 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 26¢ | +$14 | $36 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026? | No | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | Yes | 3.6¢ | 4¢ | $-105 | $218 | 15/05/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 1¢ | +$102 | $250 | 17/06/2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $164 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 9.4¢ | 1¢ | $-108 | $210 | 30/06/2026 |