Win rate
75.5%
773 W / 251 L
Total PnL
$-5,092
realized $-6,554 · unrealized $1,462
Portfolio
$1,462
volume $295,250
Predictions
5,063
167.9/day · avg $58
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Esports 60% +$58
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season | CCG Esports | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Bebop vs WW Team (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group A | WW Team | 52¢ | 50¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs | Team Nemesis | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs | Team Yandex | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Xtreme Gaming | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs | PARIVISION | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | Aurora | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs | Xtreme Gaming | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Valorant: ARETE vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season | ONSIDE GAMING | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Economy 100% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
Sports 33% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Hawks | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Hornets | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Heat vs. Spurs | Spurs | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Suns vs. Warriors | Suns | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | win |
| Bears vs. Packers | Packers | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| World Chess Championship 2024 Winner | Ding | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Coinbase top 20 app December 13? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Game 13 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Steelers vs. Browns | Steelers | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
Elections 33% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
Culture 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office? | Mufasa | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
Mentions 59% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 10-17? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 10-17? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | Yes | 29¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
Tech 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the top AI model on January 31? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
Politics 38% $-34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | No | 44¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will Biden pardon Fauci? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Other 56% $-264
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude 4.7 released by April 30? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Yes | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stage | Natus Vincere | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| GTA VI released in 2025? | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| TikTok sale announced before April? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Gold hit $3,000 before March? | Yes | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
Weather 87% $-302
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18? | No | 88¢ | 86¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 18? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 18? | No | 57¢ | 28¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 17? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 17? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 77% $-2,655
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 9? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9? | Yes | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 9? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - April 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Up | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | Up | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Up | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude 4.7 released by April 17? | Yes | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 17? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 17? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $48 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 17? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $48 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 17? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $120 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 17? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 17? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 17? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 17? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $70 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 17? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 17? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $54 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on April 17? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $77 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 17? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on April 17? | No | 96.2¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $120 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $59 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on April 17? | No | 98.7¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 17? | No | 97.0¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $48 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17? | No | 76.0¢ | 99¢ | +$8 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on April 16? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 16? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 16? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $52 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 16? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 16? | Yes | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $51 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on April 16? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 16? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $61 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 16? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 16? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on April 16? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $62 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on April 16? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on April 16? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $41 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 16? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 16? | No | 98.8¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |