Win rate
31.6%
85 W / 184 L
Total PnL
$-2,053
realized $-3,718 · unrealized $1,665
Portfolio
$1,665
volume $137,947
Predictions
425
16.1/day · avg $325
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Esports 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | No | 47¢ | 56¢ | $-1 | loss |
Economy 33% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada recession before 2027? | No | 67¢ | 66¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 39¢ | 8¢ | $-0 | loss |
Tech 33% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 66¢ | 62¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | Yes | 40¢ | 26¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 78¢ | 86¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
Weather 33% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | No | 66¢ | 19¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Named storm forms before hurricane season? | Yes | 50¢ | 37¢ | $-59 | loss |
Finance 15% $-80
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | Yes | 50¢ | 28¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 76¢ | 92¢ | $-8 | loss |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 75¢ | 78¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 73¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.4% before 2027? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 41¢ | 34¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | loss |
Crypto 34% $-103
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 28¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 67¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 27¢ | 46¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 72¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 79¢ | 78¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | No | 63¢ | 70¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 28¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 18¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 40¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 67¢ | 64¢ | $-5 | loss |
Elections 22% $-175
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 62¢ | 62¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 83¢ | 76¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 46¢ | 57¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 67¢ | 66¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 48¢ | 36¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 44¢ | 100¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 69¢ | 64¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 40¢ | 51¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 62¢ | 60¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 26% $-184
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 81¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 62¢ | 84¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 19¢ | 16¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | win |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 14¢ | 10¢ | +$0 | — |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 61¢ | 19¢ | $-1 | loss |
Culture 14% $-221
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 69¢ | 52¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $-11 | loss |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | No | 41¢ | 46¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-155 | loss |
Politics 15% $-233
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 62¢ | 61¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 64¢ | 55¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 42¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 75¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026? | No | 62¢ | 66¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | $-152 | loss |
| Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 64¢ | 60¢ | $-2 | loss |
Sports 28% $-268
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | 15¢ | 12¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 43¢ | 57¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference? | No | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Jon Cooper win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award? | No | 66¢ | 86¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | No | 68¢ | 46¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference? | Yes | 35¢ | 28¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference? | No | 65¢ | 64¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 80¢ | 78¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
Other 46% $-508
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 95¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 74¢ | $-1 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 40¢ | 38¢ | $-0 | loss |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 63¢ | 39¢ | +$1 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 40¢ | 34¢ | +$0 | — |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 71¢ | 50¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 36¢ | 34¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 49¢ | 68¢ | $-7 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $63 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs? | No | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $201 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $67 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $118 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 62.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $26 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | Yes | 76.9¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $92 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 41.3¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | $267 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $87 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? | Yes | 46.4¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $103 | 01/04/2026 |
| BitBoy convicted? | No | 74.4¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $254 | 31/03/2026 |
| BitBoy convicted? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $51 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31? | No | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | $65 | 31/03/2026 |
| 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31? | No | 24.5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31? | No | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup? | Yes | 42.7¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $39 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup? | No | 39.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $122 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | No | 38.1¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $72 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-155 | $155 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Metropolitan Division? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 1¢ | $-1 | $37 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $20 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division? | No | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $97 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division? | No | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $60 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3? | Yes | 14.7¢ | 8¢ | $-7 | $22 | 03/05/2026 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 12¢ | $-1 | $46 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 62.0¢ | 63¢ | +$0 | $25 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | No | 66.5¢ | 69¢ | +$1 | $75 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | No | 88.0¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | $25 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | No | 68.0¢ | 78¢ | $-5 | $25 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Trabzonspor win the Süper Lig? | Yes | 16.8¢ | 3¢ | $-28 | $33 | 24/05/2026 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 49¢ | +$0 | $22 | 24/05/2026 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 72.0¢ | 51¢ | +$0 | $20 | 24/05/2026 |
| Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $99 | 24/05/2026 |
| Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $42 | 24/05/2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 65.1¢ | 60¢ | $-7 | $103 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | Yes | 17.3¢ | 18¢ | $-12 | $99 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | Yes | 22.1¢ | 32¢ | +$7 | $98 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $125 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | Yes | 38.5¢ | 34¢ | $-5 | $40 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | Yes | 32.4¢ | 20¢ | $-6 | $45 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | Yes | 42.3¢ | 17¢ | $-6 | $29 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 63¢ | $-15 | $154 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | No | 49.6¢ | 69¢ | $-140 | $347 | 27/05/2026 |