Win rate
75.1%
378 W / 125 L
Total PnL
$2,379
realized $503 · unrealized $1,876
Portfolio
$1,876
volume $205,006
Predictions
627
4.4/day · avg $327
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 92% +$1,083
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 19? | No | 89¢ | 61¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 18? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 18? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 18? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 15? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 14? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Other 80% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Seoul have between 30-35mm of precipitation in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will it Snow in Dallas this weekend (January 24 - 26)? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Politics 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-209
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12PM ET | Down | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9AM ET | Up | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12PM ET | Down | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9AM ET | Down | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11PM ET | Up | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11AM ET | Up | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10AM ET | Down | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12PM ET | Up | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12PM ET | Down | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10AM ET | Up | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 18? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $267 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $356 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 18? | Yes | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $22 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 18? | No | 46.8¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $75 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 15? | No | 85.7¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $71 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 14? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $605 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 13? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $544 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 13? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $277 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 13? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 11? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $198 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 10? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $392 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on April 10? | No | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $58 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 10? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | $-32 | $292 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 8? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $47 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | $-48 | $408 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 3? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $55 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 2? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $65 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 1? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $223 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Seoul have between 30-35mm of precipitation in March? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 30? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $498 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 30? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $232 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 30? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $952 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 30? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $563 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 30? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $350 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 30? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $294 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 29? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $126 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 29? | No | 79.1¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $44 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 29? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $950 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 29? | Yes | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $166 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 29? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $510 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 29? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 29? | No | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $204 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 29? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on March 28? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $525 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 28? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $315 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 28? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $76 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 28? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $96 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on March 28? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $403 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C or higher on March 27? | No | 86.7¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $424 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 27? | Yes | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $380 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 27? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $889 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on March 26? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $751 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $109 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 26? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $263 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 26? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $251 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on March 26? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $47 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 26? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $34 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 79°F or below on March 26? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $239 | 26/03/2026 |