NinaIseri

Geopolitics 81% +$3,916 $96,020 vol · 87 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	89¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	85¢	0¢	+$9	win
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	77¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-59	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	44¢	74¢	+$301	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$49	win
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	39¢	100¢	$-31	loss
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	78¢	94¢	+$46	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	96¢	99¢	+$14	win

Crypto 67% +$603 $4,402 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	No	73¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	+$240	win
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	No	86¢	100¢	+$55	win
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?	No	15¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-176	loss
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$342	win

Politics 80% +$379 $17,366 vol · 44 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	67¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$6	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	63¢	74¢	$-45	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	69¢	1¢	$-24	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	71¢	99¢	+$69	win
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	82¢	100¢	+$71	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 8, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	No	93¢	0¢	$-276	loss
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$14	win

Elections 60% +$164 $8,358 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	88¢	+$0	—
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	12¢	+$0	—
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	83¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$91	win
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	No	83¢	100¢	+$67	win
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	No	85¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$30	win

Finance 100% +$128 $368 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	74¢	100¢	+$128	win

Economy 100% +$6 $38 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	25¢	0¢	+$6	win

Sports 84% $-21 $17,601 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	50¢	89¢	+$0	—
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	50¢	11¢	+$0	—
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	No	85¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$63	win
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Esports 54% $-170 $4,332 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	79¢	0¢	+$10	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Vitality	96¢	100¢	+$9	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	75¢	100¢	+$96	win
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)	Astralis	79¢	100¢	+$0	win
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)	TheMongolz	40¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3)	Vitality	83¢	0¢	$-154	loss
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)	Team Falcons	85¢	100¢	$-227	loss
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Astralis	90¢	100¢	$-14	loss
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	79¢	100¢	$-192	loss
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3)	TheMongolz	72¢	100¢	+$91	win

Tech 58% $-281 $8,567 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	36¢	0¢	$-357	loss
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	88¢	100¢	+$31	win
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$3	win
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?	No	67¢	0¢	$-674	loss
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$61	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	89¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-228	loss
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?	No	61¢	100¢	+$97	win

Culture 53% $-614 $6,783 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-130	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?	Yes	58¢	0¢	+$168	win
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-64	loss
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-95	loss
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?	No	65¢	0¢	$-390	loss
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-561	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?	Yes	9¢	0¢	+$30	win

Other 60% $-1,794 $42,532 vol · 108 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	50¢	38¢	+$72	win
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	72¢	100¢	+$238	win
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	47¢	81¢	+$1	win
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	81¢	100¢	+$43	win
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	Yes	30¢	0¢	+$45	win
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	91¢	92¢	+$4	win
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	81¢	90¢	$-74	loss
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	No	61¢	96¢	$-8	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	77¢	68¢	$-33	loss
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	51¢	4¢	$-130	loss