Win rate
88.8%
87 W / 11 L
Total PnL
$261
realized $-321 · unrealized $582
Portfolio
$582
volume $25,996
Predictions
123
3.1/day · avg $211
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 93% +$107
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | win |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | Alex Bolt | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Musetti | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 80% +$62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 8? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | Down | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Down | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Sports 94% +$55
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina | Elina Svitolina | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider | Elena Rybakina | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Mirra Andreeva | Mirra Andreeva | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | Texas Rangers | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 81% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
Politics 75% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Mentions 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 50% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 92¢ | 76¢ | $-6 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh Pirates | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore | Rajasthan Royals | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 92.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $92 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 15/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $46 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $139 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $94 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $92 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $95 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $93 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 91.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | $47 | 13/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | No | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | Thunder | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 09/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5 | Over | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $45 | 09/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5 | Under | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $45 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) | Cavaliers | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 08/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 08/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 | Over | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $37 | 08/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | Magic | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5 | Over | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Magic (-10.5) | Magic | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $41 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $469 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $831 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $330 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $230 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $990 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 8? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $874 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | Down | 57.4¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $90 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $178 | 07/03/2026 |
| Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $330 | 07/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Down | 47.6¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,466 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $501 | 28/02/2026 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $89 | 18/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 18/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 18/04/2026 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 18/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $46 | 18/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 93¢ | $-31 | $46 | 18/04/2026 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 19/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 19/04/2026 |