Win rate
47.1%
90 W / 101 L
Total PnL
$-3,763
realized $-5,044 · unrealized $1,281
Portfolio
$1,281
volume $332,622
Predictions
267
3.3/day · avg $1,246
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 67% +$260
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran strike one country in March? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$153 | win |
Economy 0% $-397
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-192 | loss |
Other 49% $-859
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$400 | win |
| Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale? | Yes | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$235 | win |
| Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | win |
| Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | win |
| Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-225 | loss |
| HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | +$56 | win |
| Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 48¢ | 72¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 24¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 16¢ | 34¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | loss |
Tech 10% $-1,171
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 50¢ | 36¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-132 | loss |
| Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-430 | loss |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-135 | loss |
Sports 52% $-1,330
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$1 | win |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Pistons | 70¢ | 68¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Raptors | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | loss |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Sharks | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 72¢ | 0¢ | +$55 | win |
| Avalanche vs. Flames | Avalanche | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | Bucks | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Hawks | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
Crypto 12% $-2,657
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-1,923 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 19¢ | 78¢ | +$30 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Pistons | Pistons | 70.0¢ | 68¢ | $-25 | $700 | 19/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Raptors | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | $125 | 18/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 41.6¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $146 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Sharks | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 4.6¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | +$55 | $288 | 16/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Flames | Avalanche | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $55 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | Bucks | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Hawks | 23.4¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $82 | 12/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $140 | 11/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Lakers | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $68 | 11/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Jazz | Grizzlies | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 11/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Thunder | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | $88 | 11/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings | Chennai Super Kings | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 10/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Cavaliers | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | $92 | 10/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Trail Blazers | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $20 | 09/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Heat | 41.3¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $62 | 09/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Heat | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 07/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 05/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Bucks | Grizzlies | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 05/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Pistons | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $116 | 04/04/2026 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | Arizona Wildcats | 38.7¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 04/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | 76ers | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 03/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers | Timberwolves | 36.2¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 03/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Raptors | Kings | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $55 | 02/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-18.5) | Rockets | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | $53 | 02/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Raptors | Raptors | 82.2¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $197 | 02/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Magic | Hawks | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $114 | 01/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Lakers | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $55 | 01/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Cavaliers | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 01/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Magic | Magic | 42.9¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $228 | 31/03/2026 |
| Suns vs. Magic | Suns | 23.6¢ | 0¢ | +$57 | $118 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $53 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Spurs | Bulls | 7.3¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike one country in March? | Yes | 35.9¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $85 | 31/03/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 77.6¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $189 | 30/03/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Warriors | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $50 | 30/03/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Hawks | Celtics | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-180 | $180 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $74 | 29/03/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Pelicans | Rockets | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $100 | 29/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Thunder | Knicks | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $50 | 29/03/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Bucks | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $50 | 29/03/2026 |
| Heat vs. Pacers | Heat | 27.2¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 29/03/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | 76ers | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $60 | 28/03/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | Pistons | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $88 | 28/03/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $50 | 28/03/2026 |
| Kings vs. Hawks | Kings | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $24 | 28/03/2026 |