endlesssss

Other 62% +$7,200 $125,039 vol · 79 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	47¢	68¢	+$273	win
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	9¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	77¢	92¢	+$200	win
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	20¢	0¢	$-1,849	loss
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	94¢	100¢	+$141	win
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	75¢	0¢	$-618	loss
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	36¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	37¢	0¢	$-1,023	loss
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	68¢	82¢	+$200	win
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	71¢	100¢	+$80	win

Politics 40% +$829 $151,017 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-477	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	87¢	92¢	+$1,055	win
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	66¢	100¢	+$953	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$100	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-82	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	87¢	100¢	$-528	loss
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	60¢	100¢	$-58	loss
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?	No	36¢	0¢	$-182	loss

Culture 67% +$565 $2,090 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?	No	42¢	100¢	$-55	loss
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	24¢	100¢	+$380	win
Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?	No	88¢	100¢	+$240	win

Sports 57% +$419 $5,842 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?	Yes	53¢	100¢	$-288	loss
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	53¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Clavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$351	win
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays	Dodgers	56¢	100¢	+$157	win
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers	Blue Jays	36¢	100¢	+$198	win

Tech 50% +$149 $825 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$150	win
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	84¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Mentions 0% +$-0 $195 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kanye tweet again by March 31?	No	65¢	0¢	+$-0	—

Economy 25% $-88 $2,760 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	93¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-121	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	30¢	0¢	+$103	win
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-60	loss

Elections 33% $-797 $9,825 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$283	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-300	loss
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	41¢	0¢	$-780	loss

Crypto 45% $-4,303 $178,268 vol · 112 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	33¢	10¢	$-110	loss
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	Yes	79¢	80¢	+$46	win
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	45¢	95¢	+$227	win
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	No	26¢	0¢	$-1,320	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?	No	9¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?	No	10¢	100¢	+$299	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?	No	82¢	100¢	+$468	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?	Yes	68¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?	No	4¢	0¢	$-37	loss

Geopolitics 63% $-14,866 $301,640 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	38¢	30¢	$-115	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	83¢	0¢	$-830	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	79¢	94¢	$-545	loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	16¢	0¢	+$9	win
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$669	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	93¢	99¢	+$138	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	88¢	99¢	$-9	loss
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	76¢	92¢	$-61	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	13¢	28¢	+$100	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	74¢	72¢	+$75	win