Win rate
56.4%
595 W / 460 L
Total PnL
$13,199
realized $9,198 · unrealized $4,001
Portfolio
$4,001
volume $1,380,953
Predictions
4,192
1.9/day · avg $329
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 51% +$3,790
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | Down | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Down | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | Down | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | Down | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | Up | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | Down | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
Mentions 78% +$390
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 2¢ | $-194 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 22¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 54¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | +$112 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 475–499 times June 6–13? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 50% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be $37m or more? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be $7m or more? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Weather 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 80°F or higher on June 10? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on June 10? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Branko Marinković win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be less than 62%? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 67% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%? | No | 91¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 60% $-203
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Sean Spiller win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Trump trade deal in April? | Yes | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-217 | loss |
Other 85% $-377
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20-25m views on day 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the next Pope be from Africa? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the next Pope be Black? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from another party? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | Yes | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | loss |
| Will Cole Palmer win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the AL Central Division? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Sports 92% $-680
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Auckland City win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Sebastian Korda win Wimbledon 2025? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Luka Doncic Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 27.9¢ | 100¢ | +$235 | $185 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$139 | $520 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 56.8¢ | 0¢ | +$100 | $218 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 21.4¢ | 0¢ | +$85 | $316 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $541 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 52.9¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $275 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | +$27 | $194 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $26 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 74.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $52 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $181 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $364 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.9¢ | 0¢ | +$112 | $138 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $406 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $62 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $147 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $45 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 46.8¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $133 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $96 | 30/03/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Up | 49.9¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | Down | 50.7¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Down | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | Down | 53.2¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | Down | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | Up | 54.3¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | Down | 54.9¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | Down | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | Up | 55.5¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $37 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | Up | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $25 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | Down | 53.6¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $22 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | Up | 55.6¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | Down | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | Down | 51.2¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | Down | 51.4¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | Down | 53.8¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Down | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | Up | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Up | 52.3¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | Up | 55.4¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 56.1¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | Down | 50.4¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | Down | 49.8¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | Down | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Down | 49.5¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/02/2026 |