Win rate
87.5%
14 W / 2 L
Total PnL
$131
realized $-401 · unrealized $531
Portfolio
$531
volume $2,365
Predictions
25
1.0/day · avg $95
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 85% +$92
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 71¢ | 94¢ | +$10 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$9 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 29¢ | +$4 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 45¢ | 87¢ | +$32 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Other 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Recent Trades (16)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 19.7¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | $27 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $137 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | $120 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 60.1¢ | 87¢ | +$28 | $67 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $77 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 11/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 45.3¢ | 87¢ | +$32 | $71 | 07/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $134 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 82.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $38 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026? | Yes | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $44 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 29¢ | +$4 | $28 | 22/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 93.2¢ | 99¢ | +$9 | $145 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 71.0¢ | 94¢ | +$10 | $31 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 68.7¢ | 69¢ | +$2 | $152 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $101 | 31/12/2026 |