Win rate
29.6%
29 W / 69 L
Total PnL
$1,255
realized $208 · unrealized $1,047
Portfolio
$1,047
volume $205,151
Predictions
111
2.1/day · avg $1,848
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 7% +$1,078
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Suns vs. Magic | Magic | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$1,168 | win |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5 | Under | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Canucks vs. Blackhawks | Blackhawks | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Blue Jackets vs. Devils | Blue Jackets | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$152 | win |
Other 40% +$343
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes | TCU Horned Frogs | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | win |
| Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | win |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07? | No | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
Crypto 86% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 0% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Geopolitics 92% $-29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns vs. Magic | Magic | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,168 | $1,317 | 31/03/2026 |
| TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes | TCU Horned Frogs | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $71 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $65 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $78 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $794 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,032 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,265 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,232 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5 | Under | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $95 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $76 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07? | No | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $90 | 07/03/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Blackhawks | Blackhawks | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 07/03/2026 |
| Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 52.5¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $93 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $90 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-133 | $133 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-01? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $63 | 01/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.3¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 10? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 05/02/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Devils | Blue Jackets | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$152 | $146 | 04/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 04/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 02/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,999 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $951 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,119 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,152 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,220 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $973 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $930 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,097 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,068 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,363 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,083 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,047 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,137 | 01/07/2026 |