Win rate
68.7%
2031 W / 924 L
Total PnL
$31,917
realized $16,152 · unrealized $15,765
Portfolio
$15,765
volume $1,300,467
Predictions
3,224
43.0/day · avg $403
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 71% +$11,480
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tisza win at least 120 seats? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-236 | loss |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-430 | loss |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$722 | win |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$679 | win |
| Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will the next Pope require 15–19 ballots? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-166 | loss |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will Ciucu win by at least 12%? | No | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-1,254 | loss |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-336 | loss |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 44% and 46%? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
Sports 80% +$7,813
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PSV Eindhoven win Eredivisie? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Go Ahead Eagles win Eredivisie? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will FCSB win Romania SuperLiga? | No | 99¢ | 61¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Western Sydney Wanderers win A League Soccer? | No | 99¢ | 52¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Al-Ittihad win Saudi Professional League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Silkeborg win Denmark Superliga? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Famalicão win Primeira Liga? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Alanyaspor win Süper Lig? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Slovácko win Czechia Fortuna Liga? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Wadi Degla win Egypt Premier League? | No | 99¢ | 56¢ | $-11 | loss |
Culture 74% +$3,251
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappé record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Michael Chernus win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$177 | win |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Jane Austen's Period Drama win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-239 | loss |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Tech 80% +$94
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will HC Kometa Brno win Czech Extraliga? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Chiron Burl / Jericho Grollman win the 2026 PPA: Newport Beach Open (Men's Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-174 | loss |
| Will Tramell Tillman (Severance) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Kaitlyn Dever (Apple Cider Vinegar) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$211 | win |
Crypto 64% +$59
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bret Berryman / Ethan Bakalinsky win the Veolia Texas Open (Men's Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Ethan Bakalinsky / Jayda Maldonado win the 2026 PPA: Carvana Mesa Cup (Mixed Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Gwyneth Paltrow win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-123 | loss |
| Will Netherlands advance to the Knockout Stages of the 2026 World Baseball Classic final? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Alison Brie (Together) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Jake Paul win by Points or Decision? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Seth Rogan win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series? | No | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10? | No | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$201 | win |
Politics 71% +$36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$123 | win |
| Will Harrison Ford win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-478 | loss |
| Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-133 | loss |
| Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will The Smashing Machine be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-230 | loss |
| Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Emily Blunt be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | loss |
Esports 0% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | No | 59¢ | 57¢ | $-22 | loss |
Finance 38% $-275
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | +$396 | win |
| Tom Holland announced as next James Bond? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Will Cleo Bond / Genie Bouchard win the Veolia Texas Open (Women's Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Cleo Bond / Donald Young win the Veolia Texas Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Cleo Bond win the Veolia Texas Open (Women's Singles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Cleo Bond / Donald Young win the 2026 PPA: Newport Beach Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Cleo Bond win the 2026 PPA: Newport Beach Open (Women's Singles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Will Cleo Bond / Lucas Pascoe win the 2026 PPA: Carvana Mesa Cup (Mixed Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Cleo Bond win the 2026 PPA: Carvana Mesa Cup (Women's Singles) tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Will Allison Phillips / Cleo Bond win the 2026 PPA: Carvana Mesa Cup (Women's Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-69 | loss |
Geopolitics 62% $-399
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League? | No | 99¢ | 53¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | Yes | 95¢ | 75¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | No | 99¢ | 96¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Coviran Granada win Liga Endesa? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Borussia Dortmund score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Ukraine win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Israel make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Ava Ignatowich / Edward Perez win the 2026 PPA: Carvana Mesa Cup (Mixed Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Ashley Griffith / Ava Ignatowich win the 2026 PPA: Carvana Mesa Cup (Women's Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-69 | loss |
Weather 50% $-610
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Noe Khlif / Tyra Hurricane Black win the Veolia Texas Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Jorja Johnson / Tyra Hurricane Black win the Veolia Texas Open (Women's Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Andrei Daescu / Tyra Hurricane Black win the 2026 PPA: Carvana Mesa Cup (Mixed Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-297 | loss |
| Will Jorja Johnson / Tyra Hurricane Black win the 2026 PPA: Carvana Mesa Cup (Women's Doubles) tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-317 | loss |
Other 61% $-27,085
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexander Zverev win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will another player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Avtodor Saratov win VTB United League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trapani Shark win Serie A? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Sichuan Blue Whales win CBA? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will ONVO Büyükçekmece win Turkey BSL? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Torino qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Lecce qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will FC St. Pauli qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Cremonese qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sparta Praha reach the UEFA Europa Conference League quarter-finals? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63.9¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $384 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 36.7¢ | 0¢ | +$40 | $111 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Oman qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $2,580 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Albania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 88.8¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $195 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $97 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Belgium qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $1,277 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Finland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $313 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $842 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Austria qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $143 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Croatia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $155 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will New Caledonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | $69 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-158 | $210 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 86.7¢ | 0¢ | $-215 | $215 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win at least 120 seats? | No | 48.5¢ | 0¢ | $-236 | $237 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats? | Yes | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $-430 | $431 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 29.1¢ | 2¢ | $-141 | $148 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Christian Alshon win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Men's Singles) tournament? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $840 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Dylan Frazier win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Men's Singles) tournament? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $740 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Anna Leigh Waters win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Women's Singles) tournament? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,668 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Zane Ford win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Men's Singles) tournament? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $276 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Armaan Bhatia / Riley Newman win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Men's Doubles) tournament? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $247 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Jaume Martinez Vich win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Men's Singles) tournament? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $65 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Noe Khlif win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Men's Singles) tournament? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $124 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Christian Alshon / Hayden Patriquin win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Men's Doubles) tournament? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $124 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Blaine Hovenier / Hunter Johnson win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Men's Doubles) tournament? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $124 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Chao Yi Wang win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Women's Singles) tournament? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $124 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will John Lucian Goins win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Men's Singles) tournament? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $124 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Jaume Martinez Vich / Jay Devilliers win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Men's Doubles) tournament? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $124 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Austria win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3,634 | $906 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19.6¢ | 0¢ | +$1,466 | $891 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Cyprus win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17.9¢ | 0¢ | +$1,116 | $812 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Norway win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 15.7¢ | 0¢ | +$624 | $338 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Italy win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | +$377 | $149 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Belgium win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 7.4¢ | 0¢ | +$217 | $70 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Austria win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | +$89 | $28 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Sweden win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $2,283 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will England win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $1,123 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $141 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Northern Ireland win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $901 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Ukraine win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $652 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $186 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $2,286 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $2,196 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Slovakia win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,422 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will France win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $222 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $183 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Azerbaijan win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $211 | 06/04/2026 |