Win rate
56.2%
451 W / 351 L
Total PnL
$11,006
realized $4,729 · unrealized $6,278
Portfolio
$6,278
volume $237,905
Predictions
833
25.2/day · avg $286
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 60% +$12,546
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting? | Yes | 80¢ | 52¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 75¢ | 98¢ | +$58 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 75¢ | 64¢ | $-12 | loss |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 66¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26? | Yes | 68¢ | 66¢ | $-4 | loss |
| SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5 | Under | 79¢ | 72¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5 | Under | 76¢ | 72¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Koshigaya Alphas vs. Alvark Tokyo | Alvark Tokyo | 57¢ | 78¢ | +$12 | win |
| Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Giles Hussey | Fajing Sun | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders | Gujarat Titans | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$268 | win |
Esports 58% +$996
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | G2 Esports | 71¢ | 69¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha | DRX | 59¢ | 56¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | FURIA Esports | 78¢ | 76¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 | Over | 45¢ | 44¢ | $-1 | loss |
| LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season | NRG Esports | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$7 | win |
| LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season | CCG Esports | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | Zena Esports | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| LoL: PCIFIC vs Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season | Ozarox Esports | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| LoL: Aeterna Esports vs StoneHenge Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | StoneHenge Esports | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
Politics 69% +$522
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 37¢ | 42¢ | +$6 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 40¢ | 50¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit? | Yes | 75¢ | 91¢ | +$7 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 74¢ | 74¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 7¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Trump post "Hell" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Trump say "Weather" or "Rain" or "Raining" during the White House Easter Egg Roll? | Yes | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5 | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$519 | win |
Finance 100% +$47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyama | Marat Sharipov | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
Tech 100% +$19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 46¢ | 76¢ | +$19 | win |
Elections 75% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Tisza win at least 130 seats? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 36¢ | 1¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | Yes | 40¢ | 99¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
Weather 33% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$1,021 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5 | Under | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-940 | loss |
| Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm | Providence Friars | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | loss |
Economy 0% $-79
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 67¢ | 8¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Geopolitics 41% $-610
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30? | Yes | 24¢ | 14¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 88¢ | 56¢ | $-47 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 55¢ | $-14 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 85¢ | 44¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting? | Yes | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | No | 47¢ | 20¢ | $-16 | loss |
Crypto 95% $-825
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | Down | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Sports 44% $-1,442
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 55¢ | 55¢ | $-1 | loss |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 55¢ | 54¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Toronto Blue Jays | 45¢ | 44¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics | Chicago White Sox | 42¢ | 42¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | 55¢ | 55¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies | Los Angeles Dodgers | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$1 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 44¢ | 44¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees | Kansas City Royals | 40¢ | 38¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Baltimore Orioles | 45¢ | 44¢ | $-1 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season | Team Orange Gaming | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5 | Under | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $79 | 17/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $70 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Darwin Blanch | Darwin Blanch | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $66 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Lions | Zhejiang Lions | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $103 | 17/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkate | Stefano Napolitano | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $54 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $53 | 17/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Guido Justo vs Gustavo Heide | Gustavo Heide | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $71 | 17/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Tibo Colson vs Alex Hernandez | Tibo Colson | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $54 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season | CCG Esports | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $102 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | Down | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $500 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $500 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $1,000 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $1,000 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $500 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $500 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $500 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $500 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $500 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $500 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $500 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $339 | 17/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Chicago White Sox | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | Colorado Rockies | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskova | Karolina Pliskova | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur | Alex de Minaur | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 17/04/2026 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 17/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $71 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Karmine Corp Blue | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-170 | $170 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$207 | $135 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Kiwoom DRX | 33.8¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $102 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | Zena Esports | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames | Kings | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $87 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Jets | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $87 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: PCIFIC vs Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season | Ozarox Esports | 63.8¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 39.0¢ | 42¢ | +$4 | $57 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Predators | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $69 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Aeterna Esports vs StoneHenge Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | StoneHenge Esports | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $76 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $71 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner | Sentinels | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $88 | 16/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | Athletics | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $38 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Sentinels | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $102 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner | Sentinels | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $77 | 16/04/2026 |