SiKh

Other 52% +$545 $5,592 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	68¢	36¢	$-11	loss
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	24¢	8¢	$-118	loss
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	79¢	6¢	$-86	loss
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	77¢	96¢	+$45	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	61¢	20¢	$-162	loss
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	60¢	0¢	+$94	win
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	59¢	99¢	+$83	win
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	76¢	95¢	+$82	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	58¢	54¢	+$30	win
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	37¢	74¢	+$69	win

Politics 56% +$412 $2,518 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	71¢	100¢	+$87	win
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	72¢	99¢	+$175	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	61¢	34¢	$-71	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	75¢	52¢	$-174	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	66¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	11¢	100¢	+$391	win
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-77	loss

Geopolitics 51% +$189 $12,726 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$129	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	23¢	0¢	$-139	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	59¢	94¢	+$119	win
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	70¢	0¢	$-148	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	39¢	0¢	$-221	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	63¢	32¢	$-92	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	80¢	69¢	$-53	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	48¢	94¢	$-2	loss
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	23¢	0¢	$-219	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	74¢	97¢	+$54	win

Tech 100% +$66 $207 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	No	72¢	100¢	+$66	win

Culture 0% $-69 $129 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-69	loss

Crypto 50% $-74 $526 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	7¢	8¢	+$40	win
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	No	48¢	22¢	$-114	loss

Finance 0% $-90 $90 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-90	loss

Elections 67% $-407 $1,774 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	27¢	29¢	+$82	win
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	34¢	34¢	+$3	win
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	73¢	0¢	$-492	loss