Win rate
58.1%
18 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$-194
realized $-1,356 · unrealized $1,162
Portfolio
$1,162
volume $70,123
Predictions
40
1.1/day · avg $1,753
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 67% +$103
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | 22¢ | 39¢ | $-4 | loss |
| MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 29¢ | 62¢ | +$80 | win |
Tech 75% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | loss |
Elections 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 52% $-66
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$137 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 17¢ | 100¢ | +$722 | win |
| USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 48¢ | 78¢ | +$37 | win |
| Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Based FDV above $75M one day after launch? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 66¢ | 39¢ | $-329 | loss |
| HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
Recent Trades (33)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 83.0¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | $550 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 39¢ | $-4 | $121 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | No | 63.3¢ | 64¢ | +$6 | $516 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch? | Yes | 34.9¢ | 28¢ | $-57 | $300 | 01/01/1970 |
| MegaETH FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 74¢ | +$79 | $178 | 01/01/1970 |
| MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 62¢ | +$80 | $71 | 01/01/1970 |
| Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $308 | 01/07/2026 |
| Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 89.5¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $121 | 01/07/2026 |
| Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $123 | 01/07/2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | $46 | 01/07/2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$936 | $4,762 | 01/01/2027 |
| Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 17.0¢ | 100¢ | +$722 | $340 | 01/01/2027 |
| USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 60.9¢ | 89¢ | +$335 | $1,436 | 01/01/2027 |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 7.8¢ | 24¢ | +$94 | $93 | 01/01/2027 |
| Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 71.1¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $285 | 01/01/2027 |
| Based FDV above $75M one day after launch? | Yes | 74.8¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $224 | 01/01/2027 |
| USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 78¢ | +$37 | $651 | 01/01/2027 |
| Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 87.1¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $436 | 01/01/2027 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $1,706 | 01/01/2027 |
| Seeker FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $93 | 01/01/2027 |
| Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $138 | 01/01/2027 |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 48.2¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $184 | 01/01/2027 |
| USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 13.4¢ | 4¢ | $-49 | $165 | 01/01/2027 |
| USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 55.0¢ | 22¢ | $-68 | $746 | 01/01/2027 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 78.6¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $998 | 01/01/2027 |
| Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 18.9¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 01/01/2027 |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 66.2¢ | 39¢ | $-329 | $1,563 | 01/01/2027 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 24.9¢ | 0¢ | $-337 | $500 | 01/01/2027 |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-585 | $726 | 01/01/2027 |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-903 | $1,058 | 01/01/2027 |
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 37.4¢ | 100¢ | +$137 | $95 | 01/01/2028 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50.0¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | $1,831 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | $1,831 | 07/11/2028 |