Win rate
53.6%
45 W / 39 L
Total PnL
$-393
realized $-1,125 · unrealized $732
Portfolio
$732
volume $55,267
Predictions
96
3.0/day · avg $576
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 50% +$289
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | Yes | 84¢ | 19¢ | $-347 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$672 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-197 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 12¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 100% +$172
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5 | Under | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will "MLB Opening Night: Yankees vs. Giants" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
Politics 100% +$71
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | +$69 | win |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 0% $-96
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m? | Yes | 21¢ | 5¢ | $-96 | loss |
Finance 0% $-106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6700–6800 on April 8? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6800–6900 on April 8? | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
Mentions 55% $-136
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | loss |
Crypto 25% $-162
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | Up | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$147 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | Up | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Down | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-242 | loss |
Weather 50% $-324
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on April 16? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 27? | Yes | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on March 26? | Yes | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 26? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 25? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 25? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 25? | Yes | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 25? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 25? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Other 56% $-614
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 72¢ | 9¢ | $-193 | loss |
| Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 70¢ | +$140 | win |
| Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. National Bank of Egypt Club: O/U 2.5 | Under | 96¢ | 58¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. National Bank of Egypt Club: Both Teams to Score | No | 93¢ | 61¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Boyacá Chicó FC vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 | Over | 34¢ | 7¢ | $-189 | loss |
| Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5 | Under | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-378 | loss |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5 | Under | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-149 | loss |
| UD Las Palmas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 | Over | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-134 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | Up | 66.1¢ | 100¢ | +$147 | $463 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5 | Under | 49.4¢ | 0¢ | $-378 | $384 | 17/04/2026 |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5 | Under | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $-149 | $149 | 17/04/2026 |
| UD Las Palmas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 | Over | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-134 | $189 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $93 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on April 16? | Yes | 29.8¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $66 | 16/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 61.8¢ | 100¢ | +$672 | $1,569 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | +$69 | $270 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 85.1¢ | 0¢ | $-197 | $1,277 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Anyones Legend | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $114 | 13/04/2026 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score | No | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | $240 | 12/04/2026 |
| CA Platense vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5 | Under | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $173 | 12/04/2026 |
| Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5 | Over | 48.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $22 | 12/04/2026 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $105 | 12/04/2026 |
| Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 | Under | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | $119 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5 | Under | 83.0¢ | 0¢ | $-276 | $276 | 12/04/2026 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5 | Under | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$504 | $196 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $90 | 11/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $87 | 10/04/2026 |
| Jamshedpur FC vs. Mumbai City FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 59.5¢ | 0¢ | +$41 | $326 | 09/04/2026 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5 | Under | 83.0¢ | 0¢ | $-158 | $158 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $379 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6700–6800 on April 8? | No | 78.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6800–6900 on April 8? | Yes | 68.5¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $73 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 12.3¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $258 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw? | Yes | 81.1¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $232 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll? | Yes | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 06/04/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5 | Under | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | $157 | 05/04/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5 | Under | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $21 | 05/04/2026 |
| SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5 | Under | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | $151 | 01/04/2026 |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | $86 | 01/04/2026 |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5 | Over | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $159 | 01/04/2026 |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5 | Over | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $163 | 01/04/2026 |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5 | Under | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will "MLB Opening Night: Yankees vs. Giants" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 63.4¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $57 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | No | 74.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $520 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $276 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 87.3¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $470 | 30/03/2026 |
| Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 2.5 | Under | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $212 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $77 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 18.9¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $37 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 27? | Yes | 81.4¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | $194 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 26? | Yes | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $359 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $39 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on March 26? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 26? | No | 87.0¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $87 | 26/03/2026 |
| Manchester United WFC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 | Over | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $237 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25? | Yes | 68.9¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $216 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 25? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $136 | 25/03/2026 |
| Manchester United WFC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Over | 48.6¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $38 | 25/03/2026 |