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Other 60% +$99 $628 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	59¢	56¢	+$2	win
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	36¢	60¢	+$48	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	52¢	74¢	+$9	win
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	89¢	58¢	$-20	loss
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$3	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	29¢	38¢	$-12	loss
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	76¢	66¢	$-3	loss
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	No	26¢	14¢	$-14	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	71¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	75¢	99¢	+$10	win

Geopolitics 50% +$43 $1,456 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	24¢	16¢	$-7	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	51¢	16¢	$-24	loss
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	53¢	28¢	$-10	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	76¢	84¢	+$4	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	55¢	76¢	+$7	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	58¢	72¢	+$10	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	85¢	86¢	+$0	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	57¢	70¢	+$2	win
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	69¢	82¢	+$9	win

Weather 100% +$33 $50 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)	Kansas Jayhawks	50¢	100¢	+$25	win
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Purdue Boilermakers	76¢	100¢	+$8	win

Crypto 0% $-1 $28 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	91¢	88¢	$-1	loss

Politics 33% $-21 $229 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	9¢	11¢	+$5	win
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	17¢	16¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	70¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	91¢	88¢	$-0	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	86¢	78¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$1	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	17¢	11¢	$-12	loss

Sports 43% $-59 $503 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	56¢	56¢	$-0	loss
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?	No	77¢	72¢	$-1	loss
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5	Under	53¢	100¢	+$34	win
Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5	Under	48¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Pelicans	52¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	Over	48¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 5.5	Under	49¢	100¢	+$40	win
Sharks vs. Predators	Predators	56¢	100¢	+$30	win

Elections 46% $-106 $392 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	65¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	42¢	49¢	+$5	win
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	58¢	66¢	+$5	win
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	48¢	34¢	$-7	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	76¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	64¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	75¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?	No	44¢	100¢	$-0	loss