Win rate
76.2%
16 W / 5 L
Total PnL
$1,173
realized $480 · unrealized $693
Portfolio
$693
volume $38,364
Predictions
330
9.8/day · avg $116
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 100% +$237
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Sports 100% +$60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Geopolitics 64% +$55
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 53¢ | 26¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 62¢ | 14¢ | +$9 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 28¢ | 4¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Politics 67% $-19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 48¢ | 32¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24¢ | 27¢ | +$3 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$9 | win |
Recent Trades (21)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | +$90 | $79 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | No | 61.7¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $121 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 41.2¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 40.3¢ | 0¢ | +$39 | $48 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 63.1¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $65 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 71.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $38 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28? | No | 17.1¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $29 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 53.9¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $55 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 65.3¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $48 | 22/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 60.6¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $25 | 31/01/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 69.3¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $47 | 31/01/2026 |
| Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026? | No | 27.1¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 31/01/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 62.4¢ | 14¢ | +$9 | $31 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 27.7¢ | 4¢ | $-18 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 62.3¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $45 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $21 | 30/06/2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 15.4¢ | 16¢ | +$9 | $132 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 52.5¢ | 26¢ | $-1 | $22 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 23.8¢ | 27¢ | +$3 | $22 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 47.6¢ | 32¢ | $-31 | $108 | 20/01/2029 |