Win rate
47.4%
156 W / 173 L
Total PnL
$-747
realized $-2,276 · unrealized $1,529
Portfolio
$1,529
volume $97,406
Predictions
817
27.5/day · avg $119
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 59% +$1,289
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 68¢ | 78¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$133 | win |
| Lightning vs. Senators | Lightning | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Senators vs. Panthers | Panthers | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Penguins vs. Senators | Senators | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$716 | win |
Sports 61% +$333
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5 | Over | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5 | Over | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | Colorado Rockies | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Rangers | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | Athletics | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Devils vs. Bruins | Bruins | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Kings vs. Kraken | Kings | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Sabres | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Politics 67% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Culture 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m? | Yes | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Esports 36% $-331
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | DN SOOPers | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Passion UA | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Team Liquid | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Weibo Gaming | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Top Esports | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | FUT Esports | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | 3DMAX | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
Weather 0% $-434
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-434 | loss |
Other 31% $-575
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | +$0 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 43¢ | 50¢ | +$16 | win |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | HANJIN BRION | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Team WE | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | Fluxo W7M | 9¢ | 100¢ | +$211 | win |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5) | Passion UA | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BNK FEARX | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Crypto 53% $-720
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | Down | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 13? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 10? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| XRP Up or Down - February 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | Down | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Solana Up or Down - February 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | Down | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Solana Up or Down - February 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Up | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | Up | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - February 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | Up | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Solana Up or Down - February 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | Up | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | Up | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5 | Over | 64.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5 | Over | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | Colorado Rockies | 37.6¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | DN SOOPers | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | HANJIN BRION | 17.7¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Team WE | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) | Bilibili Gaming | 52.9¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | HANJIN BRION | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 79.5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 23.1¢ | 100¢ | +$215 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | Fluxo W7M | 9.0¢ | 100¢ | +$211 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Rangers | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | Dplus KIA | 42.8¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $35 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 66.5¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 65.1¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | Athletics | 78.7¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 46.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $33 | 15/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5) | Passion UA | 57.6¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | BNK FEARX | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Passion UA | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Team Liquid | 65.8¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | Dplus KIA | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Ultra Prime | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $43 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BNK FEARX | 52.5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Devils vs. Bruins | Bruins | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Kraken | Kings | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Sabres | 65.4¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $32 | 14/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Ducks | Canucks | 27.1¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) | Canucks | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $34 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Anyones Legend | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $38 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster Challengers | 77.5¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $48 | 13/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5) | Kiwoom DRX Challengers | 55.3¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Weibo Gaming | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Kiwoom DRX Challengers | 80.2¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | LGD Gaming | 41.5¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $36 | 12/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Capitals | Capitals | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $37 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | HANJIN BRION | 17.7¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | HANJIN BRION | 40.8¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season | Ground Zero Gaming | 43.2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | LGD Gaming | 42.2¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Dignitas | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Weibo Gaming | 24.2¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $43 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | HANJIN BRION | 23.9¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 12/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5) | Weibo Gaming | 42.6¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 12/04/2026 |