Win rate
77.7%
397 W / 114 L
Total PnL
$-2,381
realized $-11,743 · unrealized $9,361
Portfolio
$9,361
volume $148,496
Predictions
1,032
23.3/day · avg $144
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Economy 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 66¢ | 76¢ | +$2 | win |
Finance 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Esports 79% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will "Prowler" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NRG win Masters Santiago 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 2 Winner | Nongshim RedForce | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Valorant: All Gamers vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | G2 Esports | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winner | BBL Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | Paper Rex | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner | NRG | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | BBL Esports | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage | NRG | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Weather 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 7, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 67% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Politics 74% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$4 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 79¢ | 84¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 77¢ | 72¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | No | 49¢ | 65¢ | +$28 | win |
Elections 25% $-37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 67¢ | 64¢ | $-6 | loss |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 45¢ | 34¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 83% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | win |
| Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Norris? | Leclerc | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly? | Gasly | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Who will finish higher: Albon or Jr.? | Jr. | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Who will finish higher: Ocon or Bearman? | Ocon | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Who will finish higher: Lindblad or Lawson? | Lawson | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Alpine have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Mercedes achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 82% $-497
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | No | 46¢ | 85¢ | +$112 | win |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 57¢ | 56¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 63¢ | 26¢ | $-184 | loss |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$9 | win |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$14 | win |
| Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$8 | win |
Geopolitics 74% $-1,538
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 44¢ | 26¢ | +$11 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 58¢ | 70¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-221 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$3 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay | No | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$6 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 46.4¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $36 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Anish Giri vs. Andrey Esipenko end in a draw? | Yes | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $56 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Rameshbabu Vaishali win on 2026-04-11 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Women? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $133 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Jiner Zhu win on 2026-04-11 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Women? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Aleksandra Goryachkina vs. Rameshbabu Vaishali end in a draw? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-11 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Jiner Zhu vs. Divya Deshmukh end in a draw? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) | JD Gaming | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $218 | 18/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 81.1¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will someone else win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Yi Wei vs. Fabiano Caruana end in a draw? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $400 | 16/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 87.6¢ | 16¢ | +$14 | $136 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $39 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? | No | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $79 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $299 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 15? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Praggnanandhaa R vs. Yi Wei end in a draw? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura vs. Andrey Esipenko end in a draw? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 82.9¢ | 0¢ | $-515 | $547 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 84.4¢ | 98¢ | +$9 | $53 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | No | 79.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $36 | 14/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 14? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $174 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order? | No | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 13, 2026? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $28 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $23 | 12/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $589 | 12/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11? | Yes | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Zhongyi Tan win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Women? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $139 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $300 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Yi Wei win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $130 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $79 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $713 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $167 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Jiner Zhu win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Women? | Yes | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $150 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Matthias Bluebaum win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $137 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Anish Giri win on 2026-04-01 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 96.3¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | $289 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-03-31 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $284 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $329 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during Monday news conference? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "ISIS" during Monday news conference? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $300 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Easter" or "Egg" during Monday news conference? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bridge" during Monday news conference? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Monday news conference? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $65 | 06/04/2026 |