Win rate
50.0%
78 W / 78 L
Total PnL
$-1,429
realized $-2,980 · unrealized $1,551
Portfolio
$1,551
volume $690,428
Predictions
75
5.4/day · avg $9,206
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 18/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Economy 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50¢ | 92¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 50¢ | 8¢ | $-80 | loss |
Sports 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 50¢ | 83¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50¢ | 11¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 50¢ | 44¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$1,397 | win |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-2,390 | loss |
Weather 50% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
Elections 50% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 10¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 90¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$587 | win |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-594 | loss |
Finance 50% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 50¢ | 65¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 50¢ | 35¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
Politics 50% $-42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 73¢ | +$665 | win |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 27¢ | $-663 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$332 | win |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 39¢ | $-330 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | No | 50¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $-124 | loss |
| Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves? | No | 50¢ | 86¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves? | Yes | 50¢ | 14¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$162 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 50¢ | 1¢ | $-165 | loss |
Mentions 50% $-51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$4,767 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-4,806 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$1,659 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1,672 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% $-71
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 50¢ | 91¢ | +$2,140 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 9¢ | $-2,137 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 50¢ | 94¢ | +$790 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 50¢ | 6¢ | $-797 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$99 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 50¢ | 28¢ | $-143 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 50¢ | 72¢ | +$133 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 34¢ | $-105 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$1,518 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 50¢ | 1¢ | $-1,519 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-533
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | Yes | 50¢ | 3¢ | $-1,918 | loss |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in April? | Yes | 50¢ | 3¢ | $-940 | loss |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in April? | No | 50¢ | 97¢ | +$930 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-262 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | Yes | 50¢ | 3¢ | $-1,501 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | No | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$1,576 | win |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in April? | No | 50¢ | 64¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in April? | Yes | 50¢ | 36¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 17? | Yes | 50¢ | 97¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 3¢ | $-47 | loss |
Other 50% $-723
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$113 | win |
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-138 | loss |
| Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 50¢ | 39¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$11 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$4,491 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$841 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-870 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-4,525 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 50¢ | 82¢ | +$306 | win |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 62¢ | +$19 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 97¢ | +$47 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 3¢ | $-47 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$324 | $584 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-323 | $584 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$4,767 | $6,192 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $295 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $295 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4,806 | $6,192 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$118 | $344 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-119 | $344 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,659 | $1,938 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $214 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $214 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,672 | $1,938 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,611 | $3,592 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$955 | $4,421 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,014 | $4,421 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,640 | $3,592 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,391 | $4,878 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,397 | $2,257 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,398 | $2,257 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,390 | $4,878 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7,514 | $9,285 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4,184 | $6,612 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2,821 | $16,297 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 1? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 1? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 1? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 1? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2,965 | $16,297 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4,259 | $6,612 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7,513 | $9,285 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12,945 | $16,156 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4,165 | $15,866 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,777 | $6,443 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3,826 | $6,443 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4,274 | $15,866 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12,997 | $16,156 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$587 | $2,826 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-594 | $2,826 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | $100 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | $100 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 86¢ | +$370 | $658 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | No | 50.0¢ | 14¢ | $-370 | $658 | 21/04/2026 |