Win rate
55.5%
226 W / 181 L
Total PnL
$19,204
realized $-1,806 · unrealized $21,011
Portfolio
$21,011
volume $423,543
Predictions
508
11.4/day · avg $834
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 55% +$14,715
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17? | No | 93¢ | 76¢ | $-106 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17? | Yes | 7¢ | 24¢ | +$142 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 17? | Yes | 25¢ | 11¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 16? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 15? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 15? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on April 15? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 67% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 27¢ | $-3,834 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 73¢ | +$3,834 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 5.9¢ | 21¢ | +$289 | $115 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | Yes | 92.7¢ | 79¢ | $-177 | $1,204 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17? | Yes | 70.6¢ | 100¢ | +$277 | $682 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17? | Yes | 6.8¢ | 24¢ | +$142 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17? | No | 93.2¢ | 76¢ | $-106 | $556 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $96 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $426 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17? | No | 80.8¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $157 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 17? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $134 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17? | No | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 17? | Yes | 24.7¢ | 11¢ | $-11 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 99¢ | +$25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16? | Yes | 78.8¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $53 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 16? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 15? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $404 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on April 15? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 15? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 15? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15? | Yes | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $106 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14? | Yes | 28.9¢ | 100¢ | +$406 | $165 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14? | No | 10.2¢ | 100¢ | +$361 | $41 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 14? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14? | No | 78.9¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | $195 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 13? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 12? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $31 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 11? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $42 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 11? | No | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $36 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $190 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 11? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $53 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11? | No | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 11? | No | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 11? | No | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $130 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 10? | Yes | 32.7¢ | 100¢ | +$134 | $66 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 10? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 10? | Yes | 35.8¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 9? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $26 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 9? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $74 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 9? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $80 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $90 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9? | Yes | 19.8¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 9? | Yes | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9? | No | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on April 8? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $101 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 8? | Yes | 16.7¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | $-65 | $220 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $194 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 6? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 06/04/2026 |