Jjw

Economy 91% +$2,943 $110,456 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	99¢	+$76	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$213	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$467	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$57	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$37	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	86¢	100¢	$-94	loss

Other 78% +$1,758 $162,954 vol · 260 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	No	90¢	94¢	+$40	win
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	70¢	74¢	+$6	win
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	95¢	96¢	+$0	win
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	98¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	52¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-45	loss
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	93¢	92¢	$-61	loss

Politics 83% +$1,613 $96,781 vol · 217 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	71¢	100¢	+$438	win
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	96¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	91¢	92¢	$-229	loss
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	93¢	94¢	+$7	win
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	62¢	62¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	98¢	99¢	+$11	win
Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?	No	78¢	84¢	+$7	win

Elections 81% +$1,467 $38,996 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?	No	93¢	90¢	$-38	loss
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	95¢	100¢	$-409	loss
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	91¢	100¢	$-158	loss
Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	No	89¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$188	win
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	No	97¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Franco Parisi win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?	No	97¢	100¢	+$10	win

Geopolitics 76% +$1,157 $45,576 vol · 90 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$11	win
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	66¢	78¢	+$61	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$70	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	48¢	68¢	+$28	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$22	win
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	75¢	100¢	$-201	loss
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	95¢	96¢	+$1	win
US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Culture 89% +$829 $10,559 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Harry Styles release an album in 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $15m and $16m?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	61¢	100¢	+$84	win
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	93¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "Frankenstein" win no awards at the Oscars?	No	96¢	100¢	+$3	win

Finance 88% +$358 $19,753 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	80¢	44¢	$-27	loss
Deel IPO before 2027?	Yes	90¢	20¢	$-183	loss
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	22¢	18¢	+$4	win
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in March 2026 (ET)?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	80¢	88¢	$-14	loss
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	No	98¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	92¢	96¢	+$10	win
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	78¢	100¢	+$9	win

Crypto 78% +$94 $42,805 vol · 433 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	93¢	100¢	+$3	win
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	91¢	100¢	$-11	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$20	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	80¢	100¢	+$8	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	96¢	100¢	+$2	win

Mentions 92% +$69 $923 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?	No	60¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?	No	91¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 7-14?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 88% $-40 $11,649 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix reach $105 in April?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$61	win
Will Netflix reach $105 in April?	No	85¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Will Netflix reach $105 in March?	No	96¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 9 above $130?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	No	94¢	100¢	$-68	loss
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Tech 93% $-2,725 $34,611 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	No	83¢	76¢	$-25	loss
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	92¢	97¢	+$171	win
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $265?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will GPT win the okbet trading competition?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will GPT win the okbet trading competition?	No	95¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$70	win
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win