Win rate
93.5%
3667 W / 255 L
Total PnL
$46,155
realized $43,976 · unrealized $2,179
Portfolio
$2,179
volume $6,690,674
Predictions
4,618
39.5/day · avg $1,449
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 05/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 95% +$40,745
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 14¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Will Basel win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Newcastle United win the 2025-2026 FA Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Terence Atmane | Terence Atmane | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? | No | 33¢ | 12¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Roma reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Real Betis reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
Geopolitics 90% +$2,649
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 4.5 | Under | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Senators vs. Islanders | Senators | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$233 | win |
| Senators vs. Islanders: O/U 3.5 | Under | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Barletta: Marco Cecchinato vs Filippo Romano | Filippo Romano | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5 | Over | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Sports 97% +$1,185
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 | Under | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Warriors | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | Under | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights | Kraken | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-1,833 | loss |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Rangers | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$178 | win |
| Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5 | Under | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Lightning | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | win |
| Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5 | Under | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Utah vs. Flames | Flames | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Utah vs. Flames: O/U 6.5 | Under | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Esports 93% +$173
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Karmine Corp | 60¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Team Heretics | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Team Nemesis | 63¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | REKONIX | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Yakult Brothers | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | REKONIX | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 71% +$119
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | loss |
| Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%? | Yes | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Mentions 100% +$38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | No | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | Yes | 69¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ENPPI win on 2026-02-12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Australian Open Men's: Brandon Holt vs Giulio Zeppieri | Zeppieri | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Finance 80% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11? | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10? | Up | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10? | Up | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10? | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will UnitedHealth Group (UNH) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 50% $-48
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Weather 88% $-193
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5 | Over | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5 | Under | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-655 | loss |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 132.5 | Under | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | St. Johns Red Storm | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Purdue Boilermakers | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 146.5 | Under | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$298 | win |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Politics 76% $-926
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcan | Billy Harris | 23¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Harris vs. Rodesch: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Over | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Harris vs. Rodesch: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Under | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Longest Shutdown" during Signing tonight? | Yes | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-801 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Palestinian Senator" during Signing tonight? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 51% $-1,631
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Down | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Down | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Up | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | Down | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | Down | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | Up | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $2,117 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? | No | 33.0¢ | 12¢ | +$14 | $459 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 | Under | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,006 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Roma reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $421 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Real Betis reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $584 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $1,202 | 17/04/2026 |
| Antalyaspor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5 | Over | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $838 | 17/04/2026 |
| Cagliari Calcio leading at halftime? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $289 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: CA Peñarol (-1.5) | CA Platense | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $274 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: CA Peñarol (-2.5) | CA Platense | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $264 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $262 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 88¢ | $-10 | $131 | 17/04/2026 |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: Draw at halftime? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $233 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $1,041 | 16/04/2026 |
| Independiente del Valle vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $619 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $681 | 16/04/2026 |
| AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,176 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Warriors | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $110 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Karmine Corp | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $57 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | Under | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $70 | 16/04/2026 |
| Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5 | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $773 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Team Heretics | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $193 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights | Kraken | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,833 | $1,833 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Rangers | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$178 | $1,123 | 15/04/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $7,259 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | $1,279 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5 | Under | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $1,153 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Lightning | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $89 | 15/04/2026 |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5 | Over | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $1,100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 4.5 | Under | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $397 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5 | Under | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $819 | 15/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF leading at halftime? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $276 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5 | Under | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $160 | 15/04/2026 |
| FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,110 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5 | Under | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $56 | 15/04/2026 |
| Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Score | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $456 | 15/04/2026 |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5 | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $341 | 15/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Team Nemesis | 62.6¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | $1,410 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | REKONIX | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $114 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Yakult Brothers | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $169 | 13/04/2026 |
| Utah vs. Flames | Flames | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $1,302 | 13/04/2026 |
| Utah vs. Flames: O/U 6.5 | Under | 75.1¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $563 | 13/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5 | Under | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $895 | 13/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5 | Under | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $741 | 13/04/2026 |
| Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $109 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoor | Tallon Griekspoor | 66.3¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $109 | 13/04/2026 |