Win rate
79.2%
271 W / 71 L
Total PnL
$-17
realized $-1,059 · unrealized $1,042
Portfolio
$1,042
volume $80,337
Predictions
576
6.8/day · avg $139
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 87% +$326
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn | Ethan Quinn | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | Ethan Quinn | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Up | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 80% +$196
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 81¢ | +$21 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 56¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$212 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Other 59% +$105
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kash Patel out by April 30? | No | 76¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 67¢ | 48¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Oeiras 3: Suzan Lamens vs Robin Montgomery | Robin Montgomery | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Giles Hussey | Fajing Sun | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Vit Kopriva | Flavio Cobolli | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Veronika Podrez vs Katie Boulter | Veronika Podrez | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Khumoun Sultanov | Fajing Sun | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Wuning 2: Blake Ellis vs Mikhail Kukushkin | Mikhail Kukushkin | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Shelton | Ben Shelton | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic | Alex de Minaur | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
Elections 60% +$96
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 25¢ | 10¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | No | 10¢ | 10¢ | $-10 | loss |
Politics 100% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Finance 100% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Marat Sharipov | Yunchaokete Bu | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Sports 62% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by Mar. 31, 2026? | No | 33¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Mirra Andreeva | Mirra Andreeva | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini | Jasmine Paolini | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva | Mirra Andreeva | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Shuai Zhang vs Linda Noskova | Linda Noskova | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Jets vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Esports 50% $-600
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Carstensz vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | GLYPH | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | OG | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Bilibili Gaming | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-319 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs | Lavked | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | MIBR | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | Team Spirit | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-267 | loss |
| Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A | Zero Tenacity | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea | Mirra Andreeva | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $170 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Bellucci | Mattia Bellucci | 72.5¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $72 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Luca Van Assche | Raphael Collignon | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $79 | 17/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5) | Alcaraz | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $87 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik | Carlos Alcaraz | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $89 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $142 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea | Sorana Cirstea | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $2,304 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $190 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 88.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $352 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 15/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $77 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges | Andrey Rublev | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $252 | 13/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Carstensz vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | GLYPH | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster Challengers | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $69 | 13/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | OG | 61.2¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $80 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Bilibili Gaming | 91.3¢ | 0¢ | $-319 | $319 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 99¢ | +$27 | $158 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 99¢ | +$25 | $174 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $180 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $360 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $27 | 12/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Kings | Kings | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $44 | 11/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Timberwolves | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $240 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | Yes | 35.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $41 | 11/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | Up | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $598 | 11/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | Up | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $308 | 11/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Kings | Warriors | 90.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $90 | 11/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Rockets | 48.5¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $97 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $28 | 11/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 73.5¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $147 | 09/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs | Lavked | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $58 | 09/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Thunder | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $197 | 09/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | MIBR | 91.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $91 | 09/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $475 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8? | Yes | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $194 | 08/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | Team Spirit | 71.9¢ | 0¢ | $-267 | $267 | 08/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $380 | 07/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A | Zero Tenacity | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $244 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 93.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $186 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $59 | 07/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Rockets | 80.5¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $322 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $700 | 06/04/2026 |
| Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $283 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 05/04/2026 |