anthsk

Geopolitics 51% +$2,272 $14,342 vol · 44 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	59¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$80	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	6¢	0¢	+$44	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	No	20¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	13¢	5¢	$-20	loss
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	9¢	22¢	+$147	win
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	16¢	22¢	+$5	win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	18¢	28¢	$-5	loss
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	15¢	0¢	+$0	—
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	62¢	51¢	+$4	win

Elections 55% +$234 $1,859 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	14¢	10¢	$-66	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	19¢	19¢	+$20	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	34¢	18¢	+$8	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	36¢	18¢	+$7	win
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	9¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	4¢	1¢	$-23	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	12¢	1¢	$-66	loss

Esports 43% $-51 $245 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs	G2 Esports	13¢	0¢	+$29	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A	G2 Esports	39¢	100¢	$-11	loss
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A	BNK FEARX	28¢	0¢	$-50	loss
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Top Esports	37¢	0¢	$-28	loss
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs	Nongshim Esports Academy	65¢	100¢	+$13	win
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2	Xtreme Gaming	64¢	100¢	+$12	win
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2	PARIVISION	64¢	0¢	$-16	loss

Weather 10% $-170 $414 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils	St. Johns Red Storm	39¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on February 28?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 27?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on February 27?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 27?	No	41¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 27?	No	70¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 26?	No	69¢	0¢	$-11	loss

Politics 14% $-305 $1,728 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	7¢	4¢	$-32	loss
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	12¢	9¢	$-48	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	55¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	9¢	9¢	$-36	loss
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	26¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?	Yes	62¢	44¢	$-19	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	Yes	14¢	16¢	+$9	win
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	Yes	3¢	2¢	$-29	loss
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	23¢	18¢	$-26	loss

Other 29% $-399 $9,472 vol · 94 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	48¢	42¢	$-5	loss
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	16¢	16¢	$-31	loss
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	27¢	32¢	+$15	win
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	58¢	60¢	$-6	loss
Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	10¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	6¢	6¢	$-5	loss
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	26¢	22¢	$-7	loss
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?	No	40¢	44¢	$-20	loss

Sports 32% $-421 $17,115 vol · 60 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	8¢	3¢	+$0	—
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	17¢	7¢	$-2	loss
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	73¢	57¢	$-28	loss
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	7¢	7¢	$-1	loss
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9¢	9¢	$-8	loss
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	29¢	42¢	+$79	win
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-38	loss
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	5¢	6¢	+$7	win
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	5¢	4¢	$-1	loss
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-75	loss